Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 2382 廣達. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=2382

No install, open FinLab Studio

2382

廣達 Computer & Peripherals As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 廣達 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 46Quality 66Growth 92Momentum 74Chips 1

Is 廣達 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 37th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 9.0%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 41th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 88th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -20.3% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 94.4%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.96
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 國泰證券 holds 64,586 lots
  • sellers have 9,572 lots left, ~95 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +33% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國泰證券 has accumulated 64,586 lots since the start (sold 3%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 港商麥格理 peaked at 17,524 lots, has sold 63%, 6,424 left, ~23 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +3.91pp, mid holders +13, retail -4.22pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -114,811 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國泰證券群益金鼎富邦證券元大證券永豐金-匯立台新-台北
Distributing
港商麥格理大和國泰法銀巴黎國票-敦北法人新光華南永昌-高雄
Desks
own scale
摩根大通美商高盛台灣摩根士丹利美林
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國泰證券 +64,586
    sold 3%· still adding
  • 群益金鼎 +60,838
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦證券 +45,591
    sold 4%· still adding
  • 元大證券 +34,724
    sold 2%· still adding
  • 永豐金-匯立 +9,328
    sold 1%· still adding
  • 台新-台北 +8,813
    sold 11%· still adding

Distributing

  • 港商麥格理 6,424 left
    sold 63%· ~23 sessions to clear
  • 大和國泰 1,707 left
    sold 59%· ~9 sessions to clear
  • 法銀巴黎 1,127 left
    sold 67%· ~95 sessions to clear
  • 國票-敦北法人 896 left
    sold 64%· paused recently
  • 新光 780 left
    sold 30%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌-高雄 115 left
    sold 86%· ~4 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 摩根大通 -28,157
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 美商高盛 -22,653
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -20,030
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 美林 -18,377
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 9,572 lots ~95 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +99,638 absorbed / -5,414 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -97,566 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 94.38%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

86 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 52.2%, Sample 69, Median +0.68%, Excess -0.5%, Beat mkt rate 44.9%；60-day: Win 47.8%, Sample 67, Median -0.93%, Excess -2.22%, Beat mkt rate 35.8%；120-day: Win 54.7%, Sample 64, Median +1.73%, Excess -3.8%, Beat mkt rate 32.8%

120 days after: historical avg +2.64%

20-day +0.61%
60-day +1.81%
120-day +2.64%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.2%
47.8%
54.7%
Sample
69
67
64
Median
+0.68%
-0.93%
+1.73%
Excess
-0.5%
-2.22%
-3.8%
Beat mkt rate
44.9%
35.8%
32.8%

Over 64 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 2.64%, lagged the market by 3.8 pts; win rate 54.7%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 425+86.7% +17.2% 68.2% +82.6%
20-40 269+62.5% +26.5% 94.1% +43.2%
40-60 403+30.2% +28% 97.5% +8.8%
60-80 737+19.7% +17.1% 89.6% -1.3%
80-100 You are here1209+2.9% -0.2% 49.8% -12.8%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 18.8, at the 88.2th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+54.2%
Win rate 53.8% Excess +53.7%
236d
+16.5%
Win rate 91.9% Excess +6.1%
382d
Now
+5.6%
Win rate 61.9% Excess -5.2%
1255d
60-day momentum down
+23.7%
Win rate 78.7% Excess +18.5%
348d
+8.9%
Win rate 70% Excess +1.7%
357d
+4.4%
Win rate 50.6% Excess -3.7%
585d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1255 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 5.6%, win rate 61.9%, lagged the market by 5.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

35 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.25%, win rate 48.5%, beating the market by +3.11 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

59 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.81%, win rate 55.9%, beating the market by +0.86 pts on average.

What does 廣達 do? Company profile

電子工業－電腦及週邊設備業；筆記型電腦ODM、雲端/AI伺服器與資料中心硬體製造服務 台灣證券交易所上市（TWSE）

Overview

2382 對應證券為廣達電腦股份有限公司，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股，非ETF/ETN/權證/特別股。公司成立於1988年，1999年1月8日在台灣證券交易所上市；總部位於桃園市龜山區文化二路211號。董事長為林百里（Barry Lam），總經理為梁次震（C. C. Leung）；官方基本資料列示實收資本額38,626,274,320元，已發行普通股3,862,627,432股，每股面額新台幣10元。官方主要經營業務列為電子、筆記型電腦及相關產品、伺服器與手機，並包括電腦、微處理器、家用電腦、個人電腦、磁碟機、記憶體擴充板、終端機、印表機、週邊設備、通訊電子設備與數位傳輸設備等之設計、製造、加工與銷售。主要股東依公司官網114年4月15日資料：千宇投資持股14.82%、林百里10.76%、國泰人壽2.36%、梁次震2.14%、新制勞工退休基金2.13%、怡佳欣投資1.47%、富邦人壽1.46%、欣敏投資1.27%、台新銀受託保管國泰台灣ESG永續高股息ETF專戶1.22%、梁欣敏1.15%。員工規模官方最新頁面未在基本資料中列示完整集團人數；公開第三方資料曾列2023年約5.7萬人，2026年初旺年會新聞稱參與員工逾萬名，故員工數採保守描述為大型跨國製造集團。

Business

廣達是全球筆記型電腦研發設計製造龍頭之一，商業模式以ODM/JDM/EMS型態替全球品牌、雲端服務業者與企業客戶設計、製造、整合資訊硬體為主，核心能力涵蓋產品研發、供應鏈整合、全球製造、品質管理與資料中心系統整合。產品與服務包括筆記型電腦、伺服器、儲存設備、網路交換機、邊緣伺服器、機櫃級液冷方案QoolRack、Camera模組、智慧醫療、車用電子、智慧家庭、AIoT與5G相關硬體。公司官網指出伺服器產品線可服務雲端服務營運商、電信營運商與企業用戶，協助建構公有雲、混合雲與私有雲。營收結構方面，MoneyDJ彙整2024年產品比重為PC類產品29%、伺服器60%、非PC類產品11%；2025年後市場與法說會摘要顯示產品組合快速轉向伺服器，2025年第3季伺服器約占營收七成，AI伺服器占伺服器營收約70%，2026年第1季AI伺服器占伺服器比重逾75%。主要客戶官方通常不逐一揭露；依產業慣例與研究報告，筆電端客戶可能涵蓋全球一線PC品牌，AI/雲端伺服器端則面向美系大型CSP、企業雲與AI基礎建設客戶。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年核心展望為從傳統筆電ODM轉向AI伺服器、雲端資料中心與高密度液冷機櫃。2025年廣達受AI伺服器放量帶動，產品組合快速傾向伺服器；多家法說摘要與新聞指出2025年AI伺服器營收年增三位數，且訂單能見度延伸至2027年。2026年第一季公司法說簡報顯示合併營收8092.21億元，年增66.6%，EPS 5.50元；第三方法說整理指出AI伺服器季增逾三成、占伺服器營收逾75%，管理層維持2026全年AI伺服器營收三位數成長目標，通用伺服器也因AI需求帶動上修至雙位數成長。成長動能包括NVIDIA Blackwell/GB200/GB300與後續Rubin世代機櫃、ASIC伺服器倍數成長、新興雲端服務商訂單、資料中心液冷與高功率機櫃升級、AI推論與訓練算力需求擴張。產能面，公開法說整理指出公司正加速美國與泰國產能建置，並透過海外子公司增資支應擴張；廣達製造總部資料亦顯示集團已在中國、泰國、墨西哥與越南建置製造基地。2027至2028年，若大型CSP資本支出維持高檔、AI模型訓練與推論持續推升GPU/ASIC伺服器滲透率，廣達有機會維持高營收規模與伺服器占比提升；但毛利率可能受高單價低毛利的代工不代料/代工含料結構、零組件漲價、客戶議價、匯率、關稅、地緣政治與美中科技管制影響。主要風險包括AI伺服器產品轉換期造成短期出貨波動、液冷機櫃可靠度與良率挑戰、GPU/HBM/高速連接器與電源散熱零組件供應瓶頸、CSP資本支出循環反轉、筆電需求成熟、庫存與營運資金壓力，以及客戶集中度高但官方未完整揭露的風險。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • NVIDIA 美國NASDAQ上市公司；AI GPU、Grace Blackwell平台、NVLink/NVSwitch等為廣達AI伺服器與機櫃方案的重要上游平台來源，實際專案與採購模式依客戶指定與NVIDIA生態系安排。
  • Intel 美國NASDAQ上市公司；CPU、伺服器平台與PC處理器供應商，屬筆電與通用伺服器上游關鍵零組件來源。
  • AMD 美國NASDAQ上市公司；CPU/GPU與資料中心加速器供應商，屬伺服器與高效能運算上游平台來源。
  • 台積電 2330 先進製程晶圓代工龍頭；多數GPU、CPU、ASIC與網通晶片經由其製程供應，對廣達屬間接上游半導體製造關係。
  • 台達電 2308 電源供應器、電源管理與資料中心散熱/能源解決方案供應商；屬AI伺服器電源與散熱供應鏈常見關係企業，單一專案直接供應關係未由廣達逐案揭露。
  • 光寶科 2301 電源供應器與電子零組件供應商；屬PC與伺服器電源供應鏈常見上游，直接供應占比未公開。
  • 奇鋐 3017 散熱模組、風扇與液冷相關零組件供應商；與AI伺服器高功率散熱產業鏈相關，直接供應關係與專案占比未公開。
  • 雙鴻 3324 散熱模組與液冷相關供應商；屬AI伺服器散熱供應鏈，直接供應關係需以個別專案公告確認。
  • 欣興 3037 PCB、載板與高階板材供應商；伺服器主板與高速傳輸需求提高時受惠，對廣達屬上游PCB供應鏈可能關係。
  • 健鼎 3044 PCB供應商；PC、伺服器與網通設備均需PCB，屬電子製造上游關係企業。
  • 臻鼎-KY 4958 PCB與軟硬結合板供應商；屬筆電、伺服器與消費電子上游板材供應鏈。
  • 嘉澤 3533 CPU Socket與高速連接器供應商；伺服器平台升級帶動連接器需求，屬資料中心硬體上游關係企業。
  • 貿聯-KY 3665 線束、連接器與高速傳輸相關產品供應商；AI伺服器機櫃、電源與資料傳輸需要大量線材，屬上游供應鏈可能關係。
Downstream
  • Apple 美國NASDAQ上市公司；市場長期認為其為廣達筆電/消費電子重要客戶之一，但廣達官方未在近期資料中逐一確認客戶名單。
  • Dell Technologies 美國NYSE上市公司；全球PC與伺服器品牌，歷史上為廣達重要品牌客戶之一，近期專案占比未由公司公開揭露。
  • HP Inc. 美國NYSE上市公司；全球PC品牌客戶，屬筆電ODM下游客戶群，實際訂單占比未公開。
  • Lenovo Group 香港上市公司；全球PC與伺服器品牌，屬ODM/JDM產業下游客戶群，直接占比未公開。
  • Amazon / AWS Amazon為美國NASDAQ上市公司；AWS為大型CSP與AI資料中心需求端，市場研究常列為台系AI伺服器ODM服務對象，廣達未逐案公開客戶名稱。
  • Microsoft / Azure 美國NASDAQ上市公司；大型雲端與AI基礎建設客戶，屬AI伺服器與資料中心硬體需求端，直接供應關係以市場推估為主。
  • Alphabet / Google Cloud 美國NASDAQ上市公司；大型CSP與AI ASIC/TPU資料中心需求端，廣達可能參與相關伺服器/機櫃供應鏈，但官方未完整揭露。
  • Meta Platforms 美國NASDAQ上市公司；大型AI資料中心與雲端基礎建設需求端，市場研究將其列入AI伺服器ODM客戶群，直接訂單占比未公開。
  • 電信營運商與企業用戶 廣達官網伺服器產品頁明確指出服務雲端服務營運商、電信營運商與企業用戶，建構公有雲、混合雲與私有雲；未逐一列名。

Competitors

  • 仁寶 2324 台灣上市電子五哥之一，主要競爭於筆電ODM，並布局伺服器。
  • 緯創 3231 台灣上市ODM廠，AI伺服器、通用伺服器與PC代工為廣達主要競爭領域。
  • 英業達 2356 台灣上市ODM廠，伺服器與筆電代工皆與廣達競爭。
  • 和碩 4938 台灣上市電子代工廠，PC、消費電子與部分伺服器/網通代工與廣達存在競爭。
  • 鴻海 2317 台灣上市全球EMS/ODM龍頭，AI伺服器機櫃、雲端硬體與全球製造規模為廣達主要競爭對手。
  • 緯穎 6669 台灣上市雲端資料中心與伺服器ODM廠，直接競爭於CSP與AI伺服器市場。
  • 神達 3706 台灣上市伺服器與車用/工業電腦相關廠商，雲端伺服器業務與廣達局部競爭。
  • 華碩 2357 台灣上市品牌與伺服器/AI系統廠，於伺服器、工作站與AI硬體市場局部競爭。
  • 技嘉 2376 台灣上市主機板、伺服器與AI/HPC系統廠，於GPU伺服器與企業/雲端硬體市場競爭。
  • Super Micro Computer 美國NASDAQ上市公司；AI伺服器與資料中心系統供應商，為廣達在全球伺服器市場的重要非台股競爭者。
  • Dell Technologies 美國NYSE上市公司；同時可能是品牌客戶與伺服器系統競爭者，於企業與雲端伺服器市場競爭。
Sources（15）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.