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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 3338 泰碩. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=3338
3338
quality needs a look, fair valuation, no active signal today.
Is 泰碩 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 38th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.2%.
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Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 76th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 96th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 1.3% of volume (net buy).
Chip flow
Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +43% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 永豐金-中壢 has accumulated 450 lots since the start (sold 11%), now trimming.
- Main distributor 凱基-台北 peaked at 1,223 lots, has sold 63%, 449 left, ~23 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +1.17pp, mid holders +4, retail -3.72pp — concentration shifting upward.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -499 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 永豐金-中壢 +450
- 元大-中和 +445
- 宏遠-新化 +386
- 新光-台南 +318
- 台新 +271
- 中國信託-永康 +260
Distributing
- 凱基-台北 449 left
- 摩根大通 498 left
- 新加坡商瑞銀 51 left
- 富邦證券 130 left
- 統一 210 left
- 國泰-敦南 169 left
Desks
- 美商高盛 -250
- 玉山-桃園 -197
- 華南永昌 -164
- 富邦-新竹 -152
Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 206 | +53.5% | +83.6% | 71.4% | +32.3% |
| 20-40 | 209 | +6.8% | -4.1% | 45% | -13.6% |
| 40-60 | 355 | +9.7% | -6.3% | 44.2% | -24.4% |
| 60-80 | 848 | -8.4% | -15.6% | 27.4% | -27.6% |
| 80-100 You are here | 443 | +122.2% | +121.6% | 66.4% | +115.3% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 50.68, at the 95.7th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 702 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 23.7%, win rate 48.7%, beat the market by 14.9%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
13 times historically; 60-day forward avg +18.2%, win rate 72.7%, beating the market by +13.76 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
29 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.97%, win rate 65.5%, beating the market by +5.21 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
47 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.4%, win rate 47.8%, beating the market by -2.94 pts on average.
What does 泰碩 do? Company profile
Overview
泰碩電子成立於1994年9月23日，總部位於台北市內湖區瑞光路302號3樓，股票代號3338，2013年12月13日於台灣證券交易所掛牌上市，2004年6月16日登錄興櫃。公司英文全名為 Taisol Electronics Co., Ltd.。依公司官網與公開資料，董事長兼執行長為彭朋煌，營運長兼代理總經理為劉克平；公司概況頁列示總經理為劉克平。實收資本額為新台幣879,081,410元，已發行普通股87,908,141股。2024年年報揭露，2024年底合併員工1,199人，截至2025年2月28日為1,121人。2025年3月24日主要股東包括信音企業股份有限公司持股15.10%、隆昕實業股份有限公司2.00%、彭朋煌1.83%、謝君山1.01%、余清松0.88%、葉裕璋0.74%、遠洋企業管理顧問有限公司0.59%、庫藏股專戶0.51%、陳彩雲0.50%、花旗託管DFA新興市場核心證券投資專戶0.47%。2023年信音企業取得泰碩股權並成為主要股東，雙方具策略合作意義。
Business
泰碩主要從事導熱元件、散熱模組、讀卡器及NFC模組等研發、製造、加工與銷售，商業模式以客製化熱管理解決方案、OEM/ODM/JDM合作、與下游客戶共同開發新平台散熱方案為主。2024年營收新台幣3,753,882千元，其中散熱模組3,142,312千元、占83.71%，其他電子零組件611,570千元、占16.29%。散熱產品包括散熱器、散熱模組、熱管、均溫板、水冷板、液冷散熱系統、吹脹板加半固態壓鑄件、熱虹吸相關方案，應用於伺服器、資料中心、雲端運算、高階投影機、5G通訊與網路設備、新能源電動車、軌道交通、IGBT工業應用、桌機、一體機、筆電、平板、手機及行動裝置。其他電子零組件包括smart card、讀卡器、NFC模組、BLE模組、入碼工具與工業電腦相關模組，應用於電腦、網路通訊設備、消費性電子、車載裝置、無線充電、無人機與智慧家居。2024年銷售區域以亞洲為主，亞洲占94.40%、美洲3.08%、歐洲1.00%、台灣內銷1.52%。MoneyDJ列示公司客戶包括聯想、浪潮、英業達等，但年報對主要客戶以甲公司、乙公司匿名揭露，因此具名客戶需保守看待。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025至2028年核心展望在於AI伺服器、HPC、資料中心與高功率晶片推升散熱規格，從傳統風冷、熱管、均溫板，升級至水冷板、分歧管、CDU、液冷系統、浸沒式液冷與雙相冷卻。公司2024年年報列示新產品方向包括高功率多節點伺服器EVAC散熱模組、Direct-to-Node液冷散熱系統、浸沒式液冷、Loop Heat Pipe、Loop Thermosyphon、3D VC、車用散熱、5G基地台散熱、Cold Plate、Manifold、CDU與SideCar整合技術。2025年公司新聞指出商用市場占比已過半，第一季包含伺服器約三成、車用約12%，並已切入CDU市場，50KW樣機已有銷售實績，目標年底前量產，後續朝120KW甚至更高功率研發。2025年8月法說相關報導指出，上半年筆電占比降至41%、伺服器升至35%、DT/AIO約10%、車用約7%，液冷相關約占整體營收17%，伺服器液冷約10%，120KW CDU送客戶驗證，目標導入美系客戶供應鏈，未來一至兩年期望伺服器營收占比超過五成。2026至2028年若AI伺服器液冷滲透率提升、客戶驗證轉量產、泰國及海外布局擴大，泰碩有機會提高高附加價值產品比重與毛利率；但風險包括中國散熱廠削價競爭、銅鋁等金屬價格波動、匯率波動、伺服器專案初期設備攤提與良率壓力、客戶驗證時程不確定、主要客戶集中但未完全具名、車用產品紅海競爭與尾單消化、AI伺服器出貨節奏變動，以及液冷系統需要更高可靠度與漏液風險控管。
Supply Chain
- A公司 2024年年報揭露之最大進貨供應商，進貨金額新台幣594,824千元，占全年進貨淨額23.51%，與泰碩為非關係人；年報未揭露實際公司名稱。
- 國內及國外風扇、散熱片、扣具、銅管供應商 散熱模組主要原料供應來源；年報稱供應狀況良好，單一原料均有多家供應商，未揭露具名公司。
- 國內及國外IC、電容阻、五金、塑件、PCB板供應商 其他電子零組件主要原料供應來源；年報稱供應狀況良好，未揭露具名公司。
- 長期配合協力廠商與模具/材料加工廠 依泰碩設計規格共同開發模具並製造端子、塑膠粒、鐵殼、銅鋁合金、金屬件、風扇等材料；多為未具名供應商。
- 甲公司 2024年年報揭露之最大銷貨客戶，銷貨金額新台幣781,095千元，占全年銷貨淨額20.81%，與泰碩為非關係人；年報未揭露實際公司名稱。
- 乙公司 2024年年報揭露之第二大銷貨客戶，銷貨金額新台幣408,373千元，占全年銷貨淨額10.88%，與泰碩為非關係人；年報未揭露實際公司名稱。
- 英業達 2356 MoneyDJ列示為泰碩客戶之一；台灣上市伺服器與電子代工廠。年報未具名佐證，需保守看待。
- 聯想 MoneyDJ列示為泰碩客戶之一；香港上市/國際品牌與系統廠，非台股上市櫃公司。年報未具名佐證，需保守看待。
- 浪潮 MoneyDJ列示為泰碩客戶之一；中國伺服器與資訊設備供應鏈相關公司，非台股上市櫃公司。年報未具名佐證，需保守看待。
- 伺服器、資料中心、5G通訊、電動車、工業與消費性電子客戶 泰碩產品下游應用領域；包含OEM、ODM、品牌廠與系統整合客戶，多數未於年報具名。
Competitors
- 奇鋐科技 3017 台灣上市散熱模組與熱管理解決方案廠，AI伺服器與液冷散熱領域競爭者。
- 雙鴻科技 3324 台灣上櫃散熱模組廠，MoneyDJ列為泰碩散熱模組同業。
- 尼得科超眾科技 6230 台灣上市散熱模組、散熱片、熱導管及微均熱板廠，MoneyDJ列為泰碩散熱模組同業。
- 建準電機 2421 台灣上市風扇、馬達與散熱相關廠商，在AI伺服器風冷與散熱供應鏈中具競合關係。
- 力致科技 3483 台灣上市散熱模組與筆電/伺服器散熱相關廠商，與泰碩在散熱應用市場競爭。
- 健策精密 3653 台灣上市散熱、均熱片與伺服器/半導體熱管理相關廠商，產品線不完全相同但同受AI散熱趨勢驅動。
- 高力熱處理工業 8996 台灣上市熱交換器與液冷相關概念廠，與泰碩在液冷系統零組件/熱管理供應鏈中具部分競合。
Sources（11）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.