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6021

美好證 Finance As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, discounted valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 美好證 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 82Quality 80Growth 99Momentum 85Chips 38

Is 美好證 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~98% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 2.6%.

  • Valuation is low.PE is in the 3th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 3th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.2% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 830.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Neutral +0.07
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
  • 大展-台南 holds 898 lots
  • sellers have 783 lots left, ~88 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +43% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 大展-台南 has accumulated 898 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 台灣摩根士丹利 peaked at 363 lots, has sold 37%, 229 left, ~31 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.44pp, mid holders -2, retail +0.23pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -257 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
大展-台南摩根大通統一-敦南富邦-仁愛群益金鼎-敦南美好-中和
Distributing
台灣摩根士丹利凱基-台北富邦-板橋新光新加坡商瑞銀元大證券
Desks
own scale
台新-中原華南永昌-鶯歌群益金鼎-開元統一-板橋
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 大展-台南 +898
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 摩根大通 +451
    sold 4%· still adding
  • 統一-敦南 +424
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 富邦-仁愛 +404
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 群益金鼎-敦南 +304
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 美好-中和 +147
    sold 0%

Distributing

  • 台灣摩根士丹利 229 left
    sold 37%· ~31 sessions to clear
  • 凱基-台北 139 left
    sold 59%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 富邦-板橋 121 left
    sold 42%· ~18 sessions to clear
  • 新光 123 left
    sold 30%· ~88 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 61 left
    sold 63%· ~9 sessions to clear
  • 元大證券 83 left
    sold 31%· paused recently

Desks

  • 台新-中原 -704
    unclassified
  • 華南永昌-鶯歌 -593
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎-開元 -307
    unclassified
  • 統一-板橋 -300
    unclassified
Still selling 783 lots ~88 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,485 absorbed / -529 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -161 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 830.64%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

117 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 106, Median +0.1%, Excess +1.47%, Beat mkt rate 44.3%；60-day: Win 64.8%, Sample 105, Median +4.39%, Excess +3.81%, Beat mkt rate 49.5%；120-day: Win 60.8%, Sample 102, Median +2.67%, Excess +2.98%, Beat mkt rate 46.1%

120 days after: historical avg +10.71%

20-day +3.14%
60-day +8.68%
120-day +10.71%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
64.8%
60.8%
Sample
106
105
102
Median
+0.1%
+4.39%
+2.67%
Excess
+1.47%
+3.81%
+2.98%
Beat mkt rate
44.3%
49.5%
46.1%

Over 102 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 10.71%, beat the market by 2.98 pts; win rate 60.8%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 You are here55-32.2% -32.5% 0% -54.2%
20-40 436+21.1% +22.8% 72.5% +5%
40-60 515+5.2% +8.4% 63.5% -10.2%
60-80 695+10.1% -1.9% 47.3% -4.7%
80-100 658+23.4% +25.8% 74.6% -6.9%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 7.23, at the 3.3th percentile of its own history (0-20 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Now
+25.7%
Win rate 98.4% Excess +2.6%
125d
+3.6%
Win rate 54.7% Excess -1.2%
433d
+11.1%
Win rate 70% Excess -0.6%
764d
60-day momentum down
+17.6%
Win rate 80.8% Excess -2.9%
167d
+5.3%
Win rate 45% Excess +0.2%
456d
+1%
Win rate 47.8% Excess -12.2%
481d

Currently in “Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 125 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 25.7%, win rate 98.4%, beat the market by 2.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

25 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.88%, win rate 65.2%, beating the market by -0.97 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

46 times historically; 60-day forward avg +3.87%, win rate 60.9%, beating the market by +0.78 pts on average.

What does 美好證 do? Company profile

金融保險業／證券業 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

6021 對應美好證券股份有限公司，股票簡稱美好證，為上櫃普通股，非 ETF、ETN 或權證。公司前身為大慶證券，1988 年 7 月 7 日成立，2003 年 4 月 21 日於櫃買中心掛牌，2021 年股東會通過更名為美好證券，2022 年集團更名為美好金融 Good Finance。總部位於臺北市民生東路二段 176 號 4 樓；董事長黃谷涵，總經理莊達修。2025 年年報揭露，2025 年 3 月 31 日實收資本額約新台幣 31.25809 億元；截至 2025 年 2 月 28 日員工 363 人。主要股東依公司官網 2025 年 4 月 21 日資料：美好金融科技股份有限公司持股 47.56%、莊隆慶 9.49%、德商德意志銀行台北分行受託保管亞洲價值基金投資專戶 6.37%、莊明理 2.88%、莊隆昌 2.42%、北濱育樂事業 1.80%、和泰安投資 1.28%、莊榮圻 1.19%、大瀚資本 1.17%、伍而富 1.16%。關係企業包括美好證券投資顧問股份有限公司與美好私募股權股份有限公司，均為 100% 持有之被投資公司。

Business

公司為綜合證券商，主要業務包括證券經紀、期貨經紀、融資融券、不限用途借貸、自營有價證券與債券附條件交易、衍生性金融商品、承銷、財務顧問、受託買賣外國有價證券、股務代理、投資顧問與私募股權相關服務。2024 年部門收入結構依 2025 年年報：客戶夥伴部新台幣 884,891 仟元、占 55.22%；投資部 638,460 仟元、占 39.85%；投資銀行部 10,701 仟元、占 0.67%；期貨部 25,194 仟元、占 1.57%；其他部門 43,083 仟元、占 2.69%。以收入性質看，2024 年經紀手續費收入 7.33 億元、融資融券利息收入 2.01 億元、股利及其他投資收入 6.60 億元，營業收入合計 16.02 億元，稅後淨利 4.38 億元，EPS 1.41 元。客戶包含國內外法人機構、一般投資大眾、經核准之外國專業投資機構與自然人，最近二年度無單一客戶占進銷貨總額 10% 以上。商業模式為以經紀與融資業務作為客戶接觸入口，取得手續費與利息收入；以自營投資、債券與金融商品配置取得投資收益；以財富管理、PGN、私募基金、美債複委託、ELN、RP/RS、投顧內容與金融錢包 APP 提升客戶資產管理與產品服務收入。公司 2025 年法說會揭露 2025 年 3 月 31 日投資部位市值約 108.45 億元，主要配置包括台積電、鴻海、達欣工、聯發科、Berkshire Hathaway、富邦台灣50、元大台灣50、Amazon、債券與其他資產。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 至 2028 年展望以可查證資料與合理推論整理如下。成長動能：一、台灣股票、ETF、複委託、國外債券與固定收益商品需求增加，年報指出 ETF、不限用途借貸、複委託為近三年證券業成長較快業務，且台灣高儲蓄與亞洲資產管理中心政策有利證券商發展財富管理；二、公司計畫擴大美債複委託至分公司，透過美好金融錢包 APP、分戶帳、信用線上開戶、線上分公司、線上投顧提升數位獲客與客戶黏著；三、公司短期計畫借助 PGN、私募基金、美債、ELN、RP/RS 與美股債複委託，發展完整利率曲線與財富管理商品；四、自營業務聚焦台、美、中高品質成長企業、AI 產業鏈與高殖利率企業，若資本市場維持活絡，投資收益與綜合損益具彈性。公司 2025 年法說會揭露未來策略為財務顧問領導者、長期投資績效領導者與產品領導者，經營指標聚焦 AUM、資產報酬率、NPS、Take Rate 與人均生產力。風險與挑戰：一、證券經紀收入高度受台股成交量、股市估值與投資人風險偏好影響；二、自營部位占損益比重高，市場下跌或利率、匯率波動會放大盈虧波動；三、公司資本額相對金控型券商較小，業務承作範圍與一次購足金融服務能力受限；四、同業手續費率與融資利率價格戰壓縮經紀與融資利差；五、資安、詐騙防堵、金融監理合規與人才招募成本上升；六、2026 至 2028 年具體財務預測未見公司正式公告，因此 2026 至 2028 年營收、EPS 或 AUM 成長幅度不予估算。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 臺灣證券交易所 非上市櫃機構；提供集中交易市場、上市證券交易與市場基礎設施，是證券經紀與自營交易的重要上游平台。
  • 證券櫃檯買賣中心 非上市櫃機構；提供上櫃、興櫃與店頭交易市場基礎設施，美好證本身亦於櫃買中心掛牌。
  • 臺灣期貨交易所 非上市櫃機構；提供期貨與選擇權市場交易平台，支援公司兼營期貨相關業務。
  • 臺灣集中保管結算所 非上市櫃機構；提供證券集中保管、款券交割與帳簿劃撥等後台基礎設施。
  • 王道商業銀行 2897 台股上市公司；2025 年年報揭露王道商業銀行為聯合授信契約統籌主辦銀行，提供公司資金來源之一。
  • 全景軟體股份有限公司 未上市櫃；2025 年年報揭露其為 eACH 建置專案技術協助廠商。
  • 中菲電腦股份有限公司 5403 台股上櫃公司；2025 年年報揭露其為電腦設備買賣契約對象，屬資訊設備供應商。
  • 愛卡拉互動媒體股份有限公司 未上市櫃；2025 年年報揭露其為 Google Workspace 服務合約對象，屬雲端協作服務供應商。
Downstream
  • 一般投資大眾 非公司實體；為證券經紀、期貨經紀、融資融券、財富管理、複委託與投顧服務的主要客群。
  • 國內外法人機構 包含法人投資人與專業機構投資人；為經紀、自營交易對手、財富管理與企業金融服務對象，個別客戶未揭露。
  • 公開發行公司與籌資企業 承銷、財務顧問與投資銀行服務對象；年報未揭露具名且占比重大的單一客戶。
  • 高資產與財富管理客戶 非公司實體；公司推動 PGN、私募基金、美債複委託、ELN、RP/RS、分戶帳與金融錢包 APP 的主要目標客群。

Competitors

Sources（9）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.