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8091

翔名 Semiconductor As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 翔名 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 33Quality 79Growth 90Momentum 93Chips 13

Is 翔名 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~86% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 3.5%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 68th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 99th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -4.2% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 82.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.31
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 兆豐-新竹 holds 1,292 lots
  • sellers have 1,073 lots left, ~68 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +90% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 兆豐-新竹 has accumulated 1,292 lots since the start (sold 24%), now trimming.
  • Main distributor 統一 peaked at 620 lots, has sold 47%, 331 left, ~68 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -1.58pp, mid holders +0, retail +1.17pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -286 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
兆豐-新竹國票-敦北法人富邦-中壢國泰證券摩根大通富邦-新竹
Distributing
統一美商高盛凱基-台北美林永豐金證券台新-宜蘭
Desks
own scale
玉山-新竹元大證券台灣摩根士丹利永豐金-竹科
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 兆豐-新竹 +1,292
    sold 24%
  • 國票-敦北法人 +467
    sold 0%
  • 富邦-中壢 +391
    sold 0%
  • 國泰證券 +365
    sold 14%
  • 摩根大通 +341
    sold 11%· still adding
  • 富邦-新竹 +337
    sold 6%

Distributing

  • 統一 331 left
    sold 47%· ~68 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 162 left
    sold 66%· ~27 sessions to clear
  • 凱基-台北 216 left
    sold 52%· ~42 sessions to clear
  • 美林 204 left
    sold 35%· ~18 sessions to clear
  • 永豐金證券 50 left
    sold 57%· ~10 sessions to clear
  • 台新-宜蘭 11 left
    sold 89%· paused recently

Desks

  • 玉山-新竹 -649
    unclassified
  • 元大證券 -275
    unclassified
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -256
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 永豐金-竹科 -243
    unclassified
Still selling 1,073 lots ~68 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +855 absorbed / -465 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -267 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 82.23%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

80 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 58%, Sample 69, Median +1.56%, Excess +1.09%, Beat mkt rate 49.3%；60-day: Win 61.2%, Sample 67, Median +4.91%, Excess +3.89%, Beat mkt rate 59.7%；120-day: Win 55.4%, Sample 65, Median +1.44%, Excess +5.05%, Beat mkt rate 60%

120 days after: historical avg +6.4%

20-day +1.75%
60-day +4.69%
120-day +6.4%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
58%
61.2%
55.4%
Sample
69
67
65
Median
+1.56%
+4.91%
+1.44%
Excess
+1.09%
+3.89%
+5.05%
Beat mkt rate
49.3%
59.7%
60%

Over 65 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 6.4%, beat the market by 5.05 pts; win rate 55.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 304+22.3% +20.3% 90.5% -1.1%
20-40 294+34.2% +35% 74.1% +7.1%
40-60 256-6.7% -5.9% 28.1% -18.8%
60-80 751+13.8% +17.2% 62.5% 0%
80-100 You are here1432+13.2% +10% 66.6% -1.9%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 37.21, at the 99.1th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+9.7%
Win rate 89.1% Excess -2.3%
183d
-8.8%
Win rate 24.4% Excess -10%
205d
Now
+8.9%
Win rate 47.7% Excess +1.4%
1366d
60-day momentum down
+19.1%
Win rate 91.1% Excess +7.9%
315d
+2%
Win rate 51.6% Excess -4.7%
320d
+8.3%
Win rate 58.7% Excess -2.6%
768d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1366 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 8.9%, win rate 47.7%, beat the market by 1.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.66%, win rate 65.4%, beating the market by +9.23 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

65 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.6%, win rate 51.6%, beating the market by +0.78 pts on average.

What does 翔名 do? Company profile

半導體業 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

8091 對應證券為翔名科技股份有限公司，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股，產業別為半導體業。公司成立於 1991 年 12 月 27 日，公開發行日為 2002 年 6 月 10 日，興櫃日為 2003 年 4 月 7 日，上櫃日為 2004 年 6 月 24 日。總部位於新竹市牛埔南路 221 號，另有南科服務部，主要生產據點含新竹、南京、日本，並推動嘉義馬稠後與日本熊本相關產能。董事長為吳宗豐，總經理為陳基川，發言人為吳予彤。實收資本額約新台幣 5.36 億元，已發行股數約 5,360.85 萬股。依 2025 年年報，截至 2026 年 4 月 30 日員工合計 419 人。依公司 2026 年 4 月 18 日主要股東名單，主要股東包含鴻予科技管理股份有限公司 6.76%、益盛股份有限公司 3.71%、可耀股份有限公司 3.64%、玉山銀行受託保管日商株式會社芝技研投資專戶 3.40%、吳宗豐 3.29%、川納投資有限公司 3.16%、瑞銀信託財產專戶 2.63%、家雄企業有限公司 2.43%、益德股份有限公司 2.24%、詹舜名 1.97%。2025 年合併營收為新台幣 2,138,619 仟元，年增 6.82%；稅後合併淨利 304,234 仟元，年減 19.12%；EPS 5.89 元。

Business

翔名是半導體前段製程設備關鍵零組件、耗材、材料與代理設備供應商，營運橫跨製造、買賣、維修、裝機、技術諮詢與售後服務。核心商業模式包括 OEM/ODM 客製化精密加工、特殊材料零組件製造、設備關鍵模組與整合性服務、半導體級表面處理與鍍膜、電子束焊接、雷射清潔與代理國際設備/零組件。2025 年產品營收結構為：材料類產品 83.90%、工程收入 5.74%、真空類產品 3.48%、勞務收入 3.36%、其他 3.10%、光電類產品 0.67%、銷貨退回及折讓 -0.25%。主要產品包含石墨、鎢、鉬、鉭、氮化硼、鈦、鋁與鋼、高導磁材料、特殊鋼、矽與碳化矽、哈式合金等半導體級加工製品，以及 Load lock chamber、Indexer、CVD 製程腔體、晶圓承載吸盤、RTP 光學反射模組、光學濾波模組、微影光束擴散/導光模組、靜電吸盤、鎳基合金管路、真空硬焊與鋁合金電子束焊接零件等。終端應用以半導體設備與晶圓製造前段製程為主，涵蓋離子植入、擴散、氧化、薄膜沉積、蝕刻、清洗、微影、量測檢驗等，也延伸至 TFT-LCD、LED、醫療與航太。MoneyDJ 資料指出主要客戶包括台積電、聯電、美光、世界先進、旺宏、群創及友達；公司年報則以匿名方式揭露 2025 年前二大客戶分別占銷貨淨額 30.66% 與 11.35%。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 至 2028 年展望的主要成長動能來自 AI、高效能運算、先進製程、全球半導體設備投資、晶圓廠區域化建廠與供應鏈在地化。公司 2025 年年報指出，隨 AI 基礎建設與邊緣運算規格升級，2026 年全球半導體市場仍具成長動能；公司將整合精密機械加工與半導體級先進表面處理技術，提供完整解決方案，提升在客戶供應鏈中的附加價值。短期策略包括加速嘉義馬稠後產業園區與日本子公司建廠、開發高能電子束科技新客戶、投入高階關鍵零組件、拓展航太精密加工與半導體其他製程產品、擴充產能、強化與設備原廠合作、加速蝕刻製程布局。2025 年 9 月法說會摘要顯示，公司鎖定三大成長市場：設備及製程模組、鍍膜製程零件、真空電漿腔特殊零件；日本熊本廠預計 2026 年第 1 季進機，初期規劃生產離子植入機關鍵耗材；嘉義馬稠後廠預計 2027 年第 1 季進機，建置高階焊接與表面處理，主攻蝕刻設備關鍵耗材。技術方向包含特化管路、陶瓷鍍膜、光學濾光器、波紋管、光學反射器、真空異質焊接、先進封裝治具與電漿腔體零件。主要風險包括半導體景氣循環、客戶資本支出波動、前二大客戶集中度高、關鍵材料如鎢/鉬/鉭/氮化硼/石墨仰賴國外供應、地緣政治與出口管制、關稅與貿易政策、匯率波動、產能擴張時程與驗證導入不確定性，以及半導體通路與零組件市場競爭導致毛利壓力。2028 年以後的量化營收或獲利目標未見公司公開確認，故僅能依公司產能計畫與產業趨勢作方向性推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 日本、韓國、美國等特殊材料供應商 供應石墨、鎢、鉬、鉭、氮化硼、矽、碳化矽等半導體級材料；公司年報指出部分原料由國外廠商控制，名稱多以匿名供應商揭露。
  • Mass-Vac, INC 美國未上市或非台股掛牌供應商；翔名代理真空塵粒/油氣捕捉器，年報指出雙方合作逾 20 年。
  • Stanford Research Systems 美國未上市或非台股掛牌供應商；翔名代理殘留氣體分析儀等產品。
  • SHIMADZU CORP. 日本上市公司、非台股掛牌；翔名代理渦輪分子幫浦、氦氣測漏儀等，年報指出合作約 20 年。
  • PURERON JAPAN 日本供應商、非台股掛牌；翔名代理氣體過濾器。
  • TOYO 日本供應商、非台股掛牌；MoneyDJ 資料指出翔名代理石墨承載盤素材。
  • POCO 美國供應商、非台股掛牌；MoneyDJ 資料指出翔名代理高電壓絕緣體。
Downstream
  • 台積電 2330 台股上市晶圓代工客戶；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名主要客戶之一，年報未具名揭露。
  • 聯電 2303 台股上市晶圓代工客戶；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名主要客戶之一，年報未具名揭露。
  • 世界先進 5347 台股上櫃晶圓代工客戶；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名主要客戶之一，年報未具名揭露。
  • 旺宏 2337 台股上市記憶體與半導體客戶；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名主要客戶之一，年報未具名揭露。
  • 群創 3481 台股上市面板客戶；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名主要客戶之一，對應光電設備與耗材應用。
  • 友達 2409 台股上市面板客戶；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名主要客戶之一，對應光電設備與耗材應用。
  • 美光科技 Micron Technology 美國上市半導體記憶體公司，非台股掛牌；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名主要客戶之一。
  • 國際半導體設備原廠 OEM 公司法說摘要指出主要客戶包含國際半導體設備大廠，透過共同開發與代工切入薄膜、蝕刻、離子植入等設備模組與關鍵耗材供應鏈；多數未具名。

Competitors

  • 京鼎 3413 台股上市，半導體設備與零組件製造商，與翔名在半導體設備零組件、模組加工與設備供應鏈有部分競爭或替代關係。
  • 辛耘 3583 台股上市，半導體設備代理、自製設備與再生晶圓業務；在半導體設備代理、製程服務與設備供應鏈部分重疊。
  • 帆宣 6196 台股上市，半導體與高科技廠務、設備系統整合商；與翔名在設備/系統整合與半導體供應鏈服務上部分重疊。
  • 弘塑 3131 台股上櫃，濕製程設備與半導體設備供應商；與翔名在半導體製程設備供應鏈及零組件需求端相關。
  • 公準 3178 台股上櫃，精密加工、航太與半導體設備零組件相關業務；與翔名在精密加工與高階零組件領域有部分競爭。
  • 家登 3680 台股上櫃，半導體前段載具與關鍵零組件供應商；產品線不同但同屬半導體前段設備與材料供應鏈。
  • Applied Materials 美國上市公司，非台股掛牌；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名半導體產品國外競爭者之一，同時也可能是設備原廠供應鏈合作對象，具競合關係。
  • Axcelis Technologies 美國上市公司，非台股掛牌；MoneyDJ 指出為翔名半導體產品國外競爭者之一，主要涉及離子植入設備相關領域。
Sources（10）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.