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Help me set up FinLab and analyze 6683 雍智科技. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=6683
6683
strong quality, premium valuation, no active signal today.
Is 雍智科技 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first
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Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~91% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 6.0%.
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Valuation is high.PE is in the 88th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 97th percentile.
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Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.3% of volume (net sell).
Chip flow
Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +273% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12
- Largest holder 群益金鼎 has accumulated 349 lots since the start (sold 5%), still adding.
- Main distributor 台灣摩根士丹利 peaked at 863 lots, has sold 48%, 449 left, ~36 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
- TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.03pp, mid holders +1, retail -1.79pp — little change.
- Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -16 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Accumulating
- 群益金鼎 +349
- 華南永昌 +168
- 玉山證券 +147
- 凱基-信義 +127
- 國票-天祥 +99
- 元大-新莊 +93
Distributing
- 台灣摩根士丹利 449 left
- 富邦證券 266 left
- 統一 267 left
- 中國信託 192 left
- 摩根大通 266 left
- 凱基-台北 362 left
Desks
- 元富-台中 -207
- 富邦-竹北 -196
- 台新-新莊 -154
- 玉山-台中 -117
Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.
Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.
Historical evidence
Valuation regime and subsequent returns
Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.
| PE percentile band | Sample days | 240-day avg return | Median | Win rate | Avg excess (vs index) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-20 | 239 | +37.9% | +39.9% | 83.3% | +13.8% |
| 20-40 | 158 | +202.6% | +90.6% | 100% | +149.1% |
| 40-60 | 177 | +61.1% | +31.1% | 96% | +32% |
| 60-80 | 125 | +22.9% | +11.3% | 76.8% | +2.8% |
| 80-100 You are here | 42 | -0.4% | -12.7% | 23.8% | -21.6% |
Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.
Current PE ≈ 92.92, at the 97.4th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).
Valuation × momentum historical grid
Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.
(2d)
Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 158 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 111.7%, win rate 62%, beat the market by 91.8%.
Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.
Signals not active (historical stats for reference)
These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.
252-day price high (breakout)
PendingAdjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.
7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +50.8%, win rate 71.4%, beating the market by +40.89 pts on average.
Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)
PendingMonthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).
47 times historically; 60-day forward avg +16.14%, win rate 65%, beating the market by +9.25 pts on average.
Foreign net buying for 5 straight days
PendingForeign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.
27 times historically; 60-day forward avg +22.83%, win rate 48%, beating the market by +16.1 pts on average.
What does 雍智科技 do? Company profile
Overview
雍智科技股份有限公司成立於2006年9月11日，總部位於新竹縣竹北市環科一路33號9樓之2，股票於2019年4月23日上櫃，董事長為李職民，總經理為劉安炫。公司主要經營IC測試載板；2024年永續報告揭露截至2024/12/31資本額約新台幣2.74億元、員工人數308人、2024年營收規模17.36億元，2024年EPS為17.69元。Yahoo股市2026/02/02資料列示股本274,676,610元、已發行普通股27,467,661股、董監持股比例14.91%。主要股東明細本次未能由官方年報完整核驗，僅能確認董事及經理人持股為重要內部持股來源之一。公司2024年成立100%美國子公司KSMT USA CORPORATION，並於中國大陸擴大測試載板在地化生產布局。
Business
雍智科技為IC測試整合解決方案供應商，主要產品與服務涵蓋前段晶圓測試用Probe Card、介面轉接基板、Probe Head整合服務；後段成品測試用Load Board；老化測試用Burn-in Board；System Level Board；以及SI/PI Simulation、Thermal Simulation與製程/組裝整合服務。2024年產品別營收為後段測試載板13.9589億元、前段測試載板3.0388億元、其他0.3632億元，約當後段測試載板80.4%、前段測試載板17.5%、其他2.1%。公司商業模式以客製化設計、電路與PCB layout、電/熱模擬、PCB發包製作、組裝、飛針電測、出貨與客戶驗證支援為主，產品作為待測IC與ATE或老化/系統測試設備之間的訊號與電源介面。終端應用包括HPC、CPU/GPU、加速器、ASIC、NIC、Switch IC、PCIe控制器、行動裝置AP/Modem/RF IC/PMIC/Sensor IC、自駕與車用雷達晶片、IoT與高速傳輸介面。公開資料與市場報導指出客戶群涵蓋IC設計、晶圓代工、封測與測試廠，包含聯發科、瑞昱、世芯-KY、台積電、日月光投控、宜特上海、通富微電、海思等；其中客戶名單部分來自MoneyDJ與新聞報導，非公司逐項公告。
Outlook 2025–2028
2025年展望：公司永續報告明確指出，受惠AI、手機AP、電動車、AI ASIC、高速傳輸與高頻射頻晶片測試需求，2024年營收創高；2025年將在Burn-in Board與客戶深度合作、跨驗多種老化測試平台，並延續2022年以來前段測試載板設備投資與技術布局，預期前段晶圓探針卡營收逐年增加；中國大陸與歐美市場營收相較2024年預計成長。2026年展望：MoneyDJ與相關新聞報導指出訂單能見度可至2026年上半年，法人看好AI相關應用晶片新開案帶動2026年營收續創新高，年增率可能上看約三成；此屬法人與媒體預估，非公司財測。2027-2028年展望：較缺乏公司明確量化指引，可合理推估成長動能來自AI/HPC ASIC、資料中心交換器與NIC、高速SerDes 112/224Gbps、先進封裝後測、車用與自駕晶片測試複雜度提升，推升Probe Card、Load Board、BIB與SLT測試介面價值。主要風險包括半導體景氣循環與客戶庫存調整、少數大客戶集中、測試介面同業擴產造成競爭、探針卡關鍵零組件自製率與供應鏈策略差異、PCB/探針/Socket等材料供給與成本、匯率、兩岸與中美科技管制、AI ASIC專案時程延後，以及高階測試技術若無法符合新節點/高速/高功率需求而影響接案。
Supply Chain
- PCB與高頻高速板材供應商（公司未逐一揭露） 上游材料；公司產品製造流程包含PCB發包製作，MoneyDJ資料指出IC測試載板主要原料包含印刷電路板PCB等材料。具名供應商未由公司公開逐一揭露。
- 繼電器、Socket、Probe Head與Micro Probe供應商（公司未逐一揭露） 上游零組件；用於Load Board、Probe Card、Burn-in Board等測試介面整合。MoneyDJ提到繼電器為重要原物料，公司永續報告提到Probe Card可搭配Interposer substrate、Probe Head與Micro Probe。具名供應商未由官方資料核驗。
- 金像電 2368 可能上游PCB供應鏈公司；市場報導曾稱雍智擴大本土化PCB採購、金像電列入供應商名單，但此非公司官方逐項揭露，可信度較官方資料低。
- 柏承 6141 可能上游PCB供應鏈公司；市場報導曾稱柏承列入供應商名單，但此非公司官方逐項揭露，需保守看待。
- 聯發科 2454 下游IC設計客戶；多篇MoneyDJ/新聞報導稱為雍智第一大客戶，受AI ASIC、手機AP、網通等測試需求影響。
- 瑞昱 2379 下游IC設計客戶；MoneyDJ與新聞報導列為合作客戶，主要關聯網通、高速傳輸與消費/通訊IC測試需求。
- 世芯-KY 3661 下游ASIC設計服務客戶；新聞報導列為合作名單，關聯AI ASIC與HPC測試需求。
- 台積電 2330 下游晶圓代工/半導體生態系客戶；MoneyDJ資料列為客戶之一，具體產品與採購占比未公開。
- 日月光投控 3711 下游封測客戶；MoneyDJ資料列為客戶之一，可能與後段測試載板、封裝後測相關。
- 宜特上海 下游測試服務客戶；MoneyDJ列為客戶，為宜特相關中國大陸據點，非台股掛牌主體。
- 通富微電 下游封測客戶；中國A股上市公司，非台股上市櫃。
- 海思 下游IC設計客戶；華為旗下未上市公司，非台股上市櫃。
Competitors
Sources（15）
This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.
Method and limitations
- All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
- Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
- Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
- Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
- Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.
This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.