Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 2368 金像電. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=2368

2368

金像電 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, premium valuation.

1 active signal
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 金像電 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 18Quality 93Growth 91Momentum 91Chips 61

Is 金像電 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~90% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 10.2%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 81th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 89th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 1.9% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 87.3%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.76
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 大和國泰 holds 5,945 lots
  • sellers have 4,013 lots left, ~41 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +120% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 大和國泰 has accumulated 5,945 lots since the start (sold 8%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 美商高盛 peaked at 6,252 lots, has sold 43%, 3,588 left, ~41 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +2.70pp, mid holders -4, retail -2.14pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -2,228 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
大和國泰摩根大通台灣摩根士丹利美林花旗環球元大證券
Distributing
美商高盛香港上海匯豐富邦證券元大-崇德台灣企銀凱基-三重
Desks
own scale
永豐金證券統一-城中國泰證券凱基-站前
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 大和國泰 +5,945
    sold 8%· still adding
  • 摩根大通 +5,496
    sold 21%
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +4,893
    sold 9%· still adding
  • 美林 +4,211
    sold 23%· still adding
  • 花旗環球 +3,924
    sold 21%
  • 元大證券 +2,369
    sold 5%· still adding

Distributing

  • 美商高盛 3,588 left
    sold 43%· ~41 sessions to clear
  • 香港上海匯豐 130 left
    sold 89%· ~2 sessions to clear
  • 富邦證券 151 left
    sold 78%· paused recently
  • 元大-崇德 113 left
    sold 33%· paused recently
  • 台灣企銀 98 left
    sold 32%· ~21 sessions to clear
  • 凱基-三重 67 left
    sold 48%· paused recently

Desks

  • 永豐金證券 -3,884
    unclassified
  • 統一-城中 -1,852
    unclassified
  • 國泰證券 -1,458
    unclassified
  • 凱基-站前 -1,247
    unclassified
Still selling 4,013 lots ~41 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +4,149 absorbed / -1,822 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -2,092 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 87.29%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

93 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 60%, Sample 80, Median +2.02%, Excess +2.34%, Beat mkt rate 51.2%;60-day: Win 69.2%, Sample 78, Median +7.42%, Excess +7.42%, Beat mkt rate 60.3%;120-day: Win 64%, Sample 75, Median +13.68%, Excess +16.42%, Beat mkt rate 58.7%

120 days after: historical avg +25.36%

20-day +4.08%
60-day +12.78%
120-day +25.36%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60%
69.2%
64%
Sample
80
78
75
Median
+2.02%
+7.42%
+13.68%
Excess
+2.34%
+7.42%
+16.42%
Beat mkt rate
51.2%
60.3%
58.7%

Over 75 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 25.36%, beat the market by 16.42 pts; win rate 64%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 215+136.9% +139.1% 100% +113.6%
20-40 609+89.8% +47% 98.7% +70.9%
40-60 462+151.5% +119% 94.6% +118.4%
60-80 107+10.5% -8.5% 24.3% -18.7%
80-100 You are here31+96.5% +94.1% 100% +27.5%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 61.85, at the 89.3th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+36.7%
Win rate 90.7% Excess +24.2%
428d
+41.8%
Win rate 75.3% Excess +31.2%
586d
Now
+89.8%
Win rate 87.5% Excess +53.4%
120d
60-day momentum down
+55.2%
Win rate 95.2% Excess +46%
208d
+82%
Win rate 77.2% Excess +69.4%
202d
Insufficient data
(0d)

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 120 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 89.8%, win rate 87.5%, beat the market by 53.4%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

38 times historically; 60-day forward avg +17.5%, win rate 55.6%, beating the market by +12.7 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

55 times historically; 60-day forward avg +10.24%, win rate 64.2%, beating the market by +6.87 pts on average.

What does 金像電 do? Company profile

電子零組件業;印刷電路板(PCB) 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

2368 對應金像電子股份有限公司,英文名 Gold Circuit Electronics Ltd.,為台灣證券交易所上市普通股,不是 ETF、ETN、特別股或權證。公司成立於 1981 年 9 月 5 日,股票於 1998 年 3 月 9 日上市。總部及登記地址為桃園市中壢區西園路 113 號。董事長兼總經理為楊承澤。公司主要營業項目為雙層、多層印刷電路板製造、加工及買賣,並涉及電腦、電子、通訊、資訊產品及其週邊設備與電子零件加工。2026 年 6 月公司法說資料揭露股本約新台幣 51.7 億元,生產基地包含台灣中壢、大陸蘇州、大陸常熟、泰國巴真;公司技術定位為高階線路板、厚銅板、背板與 HDI。2024 年報揭露截至 2025 年 2 月 28 日合併員工 8,556 人,其中間接員工 2,305 人、直接人工 6,251 人。2024 年報揭露 2025 年 3 月 30 日前十大股東包含楊長基 19.65%、新制勞工退休基金 7.33%、李瑞清 5.62%、國泰人壽全委摩根富林明投信公司投資帳戶 4.14%、楊承澤 3.59%、富邦人壽 2.57%、佳惠投資 2.24%、中華郵政 2.16%、大通託管挪威中央銀行投資專戶 1.88%、舊制勞工退休基金 1.77%。

Business

金像電是專業 PCB 製造商,營收幾乎全部來自印刷電路板。2024 年報揭露 2023 年與 2024 年合併營業比重均為印刷電路板 100%,2024 年合併營收約新台幣 389.52 億元。產品集中於通訊及電腦相關 PCB,包含伺服器用板、網通用板、筆記型電腦板、基地台、手機與平板電腦板;近年策略轉向高階產品,例如 AI 與雲端伺服器、網通板、低軌衛星天線板、儲存設備板、網際網路連接設備用板、汽車用板與半導體測試設備相關板。公司揭露計畫開發項目包含高密度晶圓測試板、下一世代伺服器材料應用、Multiple Net Via、多迴路孔、VIPPO 細線路、1.6T 網通板、高階 AI 伺服器 HDI 板、厚板高縱橫比網通板等。商業模式為接單製造與技術共同開發型 PCB 供應,主要價值來自高層數、高密度、高可靠度與高速訊號材料/製程能力。2024 年報表示公司是台灣最大伺服器用板 PCB 廠,全球國際級伺服器業者皆為主要客戶,近幾年度外銷比率均在 70% 以上,客戶多為知名大廠及組裝廠;但年報因契約約定未揭露主要客戶真名,2024 年 A、B、C 三大客戶分別占合併銷貨 18.13%、17.31%、11.63%。2025 年前三季公司法說資料揭露營收 435.96 億元、年增 50%,EPS 13.61 元;2025 年度財報公告營業收入 600.04 億元、稅後淨利 96.07 億元、EPS 19.47 元。2026 年 6 月法說資料揭露 2026 年 1至5月合併營收約 353 億元,2026Q1 營收 193.13 億元、年增 60%,毛利率 34.81%,EPS 6.87 元。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 至 2028 年主要成長動能來自 AI 伺服器、HPC、雲端資料中心、高速網通、低軌衛星與車用電子對高階 PCB 的規格升級。公司 2024 年報引用 TPCA/工研院資料指出,2024 年台商 PCB 產值受惠消費回溫、AI 伺服器與衛星通訊成長,2025 年台灣 PCB 產業產值預估成長至 8,541 億元、年增 4.6%;同時 AI 伺服器與衛星通訊帶動高階 HDI 板需求。公司自身研發方向包含 1.6T 網通板、高階 AI 伺服器 HDI、下一世代伺服器材料與厚板高縱橫比網通板,顯示 2026 至 2028 年競爭重點將在高層數、低損耗材料、背鑽、HDI、厚銅與高速訊號完整性。產能方面,2024 年報揭露大陸總月產能約 170 萬平方呎、集團總月產能約 200 萬平方呎,泰國巴真廠 2023 年設廠、預計 2025 下半年量產,以紓解產能並滿足客戶多元供應鏈需求;2026 年法說仍列泰國為生產基地,代表中國加一與地緣風險分散將是中期核心議題。2025 年業績已大幅成長,2026Q1 仍呈現高雙位數年增,若 AI GPU/ASIC 伺服器平台、800G/1.6T 交換器與資料中心資本支出延續,2026 至 2028 年高階伺服器與網通 PCB 仍有擴張空間。風險包含美國政策與關稅變動、中國經濟放緩、地緣政治、PCB 同業在中國與東南亞擴產導致價格競爭、資本支出與折舊壓力、環保與廢水處理成本、銅箔/基板/低損耗 CCL 價格波動、匯率、泰國廠良率與量產爬坡、主要客戶集中且未揭露真名,以及 AI 伺服器平台換代造成認證時程與產品組合波動。2027 至 2028 年具體營收與獲利數字屬市場推估,公開文件未提供公司正式財測。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 甲公司 2024 年報揭露為主要供應商代號,2024 年占合併進貨淨額 23.44%,公司因契約約定未揭露真名;關係為基板、膠片、銅箔、乾膜或電鍍化學品等 PCB 原料供應鏈之一。
  • 乙公司 2024 年報揭露為主要供應商代號,2024 年占合併進貨淨額 16.22%,公司因契約約定未揭露真名;關係為 PCB 主要原料供應鏈之一。
  • 台光電 2383 台股上市銅箔基板與高頻高速材料供應商,屬 AI 伺服器 PCB 上游 CCL 族群;未由金像電年報點名為直接供應商,列為產業鏈關係企業。
  • 台燿 6274 台股上櫃銅箔基板供應商,產品用於高頻高速與伺服器/網通 PCB;未由金像電年報點名為直接供應商,列為產業鏈關係企業。
  • 聯茂 6213 台股上市銅箔基板供應商,屬 PCB 上游材料;未由金像電年報點名為直接供應商,列為產業鏈關係企業。
  • 南亞 1303 台股上市公司,具銅箔基板、玻纖布、樹脂等電子材料布局,屬 PCB 上游材料族群;未由金像電年報點名為直接供應商。
  • 金居 8358 台股上櫃電解銅箔供應商,銅箔為 PCB 主要原料之一;未由金像電年報點名為直接供應商。
  • 長興 1717 台股上市電子材料與化學材料供應商,乾膜/化學材料為 PCB 製程原料之一;未由金像電年報點名為直接供應商。
Downstream
  • A公司 2024 年報揭露為第一大客戶代號,2024 年占合併銷貨 18.13%,公司因契約約定未揭露真名;關係為伺服器、資訊、通訊或組裝大廠客戶。
  • B公司 2024 年報揭露為第二大客戶代號,2024 年占合併銷貨 17.31%,公司因契約約定未揭露真名;關係為伺服器、資訊、通訊或組裝大廠客戶。
  • C公司 2024 年報揭露為第三大客戶代號,2024 年占合併銷貨 11.63%,公司因契約約定未揭露真名;關係為伺服器、資訊、通訊或組裝大廠客戶。
  • 全球國際級伺服器業者 公司年報表示全球國際級伺服器業者皆為主要客戶,銷售對象多為知名大廠及組裝廠;未揭露具體名單。
  • 廣達 2382 台股上市 AI 伺服器/雲端伺服器 ODM,屬金像電伺服器 PCB 的下游應用產業鏈;公開年報未確認其為金像電直接客戶。
  • 緯創 3231 台股上市 AI 伺服器與資訊產品 ODM,屬金像電伺服器 PCB 下游應用產業鏈;公開年報未確認其為金像電直接客戶。
  • 鴻海 2317 台股上市伺服器與雲端資料中心硬體組裝大廠,屬高階 PCB 下游應用產業鏈;公開年報未確認其為金像電直接客戶。
  • 英業達 2356 台股上市伺服器/筆電 ODM,屬金像電 PCB 可能服務的終端應用產業鏈;公開年報未確認其為金像電直接客戶。

Competitors

  • 華通 2313 台股上市 PCB 廠;2024 年報列為上市櫃 PCB 銷售值市占比較同業。
  • 欣興 3037 台股上市 PCB/IC 載板大廠;2024 年報列為同業,2024 年上市櫃 PCB 銷售值市占 15.16%。
  • 健鼎 3044 台股上市 PCB 廠;2024 年報列為同業,伺服器/汽車/消費電子等 PCB 競爭者。
  • 瀚宇博 5469 台股上市 PCB 廠;2024 年報列為同業。
  • 燿華 2367 台股上市 PCB 廠;2024 年報列為同業。
  • 敬鵬 2355 台股上市 PCB 廠;2024 年報列為同業,偏車用與工業應用。
  • 志超 8213 台股上市 PCB 廠;2024 年報列為同業。
  • 景碩 3189 台股上市 IC 載板/PCB 廠;2024 年報列為同業。
  • 楠梓電 2316 台股上市 PCB 廠;2024 年報列為同業。
  • 臻鼎-KY 4958 台股上市大型 PCB 集團,雖未出現在金像電年報該市占表主要列示項目中,但為台資 PCB 重要競爭者。
Sources(10)

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.