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2506

太設 Construction & Materials As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, premium valuation.

2 active signals
Revenue ≥20% Foreign buy
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 太設 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 51Quality 54Growth 94Momentum 31Chips 98

Is 太設 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 77th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 0.6%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 98th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 99th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 24.9% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 131.0%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20%, Foreign net buying 5 straight days are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.48
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 京城 holds 2,031 lots
  • sellers have 269 lots left, ~318 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price 0% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 京城 has accumulated 2,031 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 新光 peaked at 173 lots, has sold 27%, 127 left, ~318 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +0.58pp, mid holders +3, retail -0.69pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -179 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
京城花旗環球華南永昌凱基-竹科凱基-台北合庫證券
Distributing
新光玉山證券台新元富-世貿華南永昌-古亭元大-和平
Desks
own scale
元富-吉利元大-歸仁亞東-高雄國泰-敦南
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 京城 +2,031
    sold 0%
  • 花旗環球 +630
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 華南永昌 +612
    sold 0%
  • 凱基-竹科 +447
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-台北 +232
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 合庫證券 +227
    sold 1%

Distributing

  • 新光 127 left
    sold 27%· ~318 sessions to clear
  • 玉山證券 44 left
    sold 46%· ~23 sessions to clear
  • 台新 38 left
    sold 32%· ~190 sessions to clear
  • 元富-世貿 20 left
    sold 46%· paused recently
  • 華南永昌-古亭 26 left
    sold 28%· paused recently
  • 元大-和平 16 left
    sold 50%· paused recently

Desks

  • 元富-吉利 -1,140
    unclassified
  • 元大-歸仁 -369
    unclassified
  • 亞東-高雄 -193
    unclassified
  • 國泰-敦南 -167
    day-trade · selling pressure
Still selling 269 lots ~318 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +485 absorbed / -82 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -3 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 131.02%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

83 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 52.6%, Sample 76, Median +0.59%, Excess -0.58%, Beat mkt rate 43.4%；60-day: Win 52.7%, Sample 74, Median +0.67%, Excess -0.73%, Beat mkt rate 36.5%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 74, Median +0.01%, Excess -2.93%, Beat mkt rate 35.1%

120 days after: historical avg +3.4%

20-day +0.75%
60-day +2.72%
120-day +3.4%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.6%
52.7%
50%
Sample
76
74
74
Median
+0.59%
+0.67%
+0.01%
Excess
-0.58%
-0.73%
-2.93%
Beat mkt rate
43.4%
36.5%
35.1%

Over 74 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 3.4%, lagged the market by 2.93 pts; win rate 50%.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Active · now 6%

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

60 historical occurrences (since 2012-06-19)
Average forward return after Foreign net buying for 5 straight days。20-day: Win 51.7%, Sample 58, Median +0.38%, Excess -0.72%, Beat mkt rate 44.8%；60-day: Win 52.6%, Sample 57, Median +0.86%, Excess -2.16%, Beat mkt rate 38.6%；120-day: Win 54.5%, Sample 55, Median +0.47%, Excess -3.29%, Beat mkt rate 38.2%

120 days after: historical avg +4.52%

20-day -0.16%
60-day +1.03%
120-day +4.52%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
51.7%
52.6%
54.5%
Sample
58
57
55
Median
+0.38%
+0.86%
+0.47%
Excess
-0.72%
-2.16%
-3.29%
Beat mkt rate
44.8%
38.6%
38.2%

Over 55 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4.52%, lagged the market by 3.29 pts; win rate 54.5%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 240+16.5% +17.7% 84.2% -41.1%
20-40 213+36.1% +22.1% 96.2% +27%
40-60 317+6.9% -1.9% 46.4% -15.7%
60-80 513-4.3% -5.7% 39% -28.2%
80-100 You are here618-0.9% -4.1% 41.4% -16.3%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 433.0, at the 98.6th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+13.5%
Win rate 64.2% Excess -6.5%
260d
+15%
Win rate 80.6% Excess +17.1%
211d
-4.7%
Win rate 22.9% Excess -10.3%
442d
60-day momentum down
+4.1%
Win rate 58.4% Excess -21%
245d
+1%
Win rate 40.8% Excess -28.2%
196d
Now
-1.8%
Win rate 42.8% Excess -9.6%
666d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 666 historical days, 120-day forward avg declined 1.8%, win rate 42.8%, lagged the market by 9.6%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

24 times historically; 60-day forward avg -0.19%, win rate 37.5%, beating the market by -2.52 pts on average.

What does 太設 do? Company profile

建材營造業／營建開發 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

2506 對應太平洋建設股份有限公司，股票簡稱太設，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司成立於1967年6月14日，1980年2月2日上市，總部位於台北市信義區光復南路495號。董事長為柳逸義，總經理兼發言人為陳清暉；2025年法說會揭露資本額為新台幣38.7億元，年報揭露實收股本3,870,000,000元、已發行普通股387,000,000股。截至2026年4月28日，員工75人；2025年度員工76人。2026年4月11日主要股東包括創美投資8.90%、豐洋興業6.42%、豐富國際開發4.92%、泉源國際開發4.63%、富禾國際投資2.56%、英屬維京群島商諾亞投資控股有限公司台灣分公司2.43%、柳逸義2.33%、蕭燕琴2.29%、詠春投資2.28%、太平洋崇光百貨2.05%。主要轉投資與集團事業包含豐洋興業、太平洋房屋仲介、太投興業、群策資產管理、太平洋控股等，業務觸角涵蓋營建開發、房仲流通、零售百貨與休閒管理。

Business

公司核心業務為綜合營造、住宅及大樓開發租售、不動產買賣與租賃、土地開發、都市更新、危老重建、土地變更及都市計畫變更等。2025年年報揭露合併財報營業比重為營建收入56.30%、其他43.70%；2025年度合併營收1,137,730千元，較2024年度1,441,466千元下降，主因建案完工交屋及餘車屋出售數較少。商品包括住宅大樓、別墅、商用大樓、不動產出租出售及土地開發；重要用途涵蓋高級大樓、辦公室、住宅、店面、停車場、7樓以下華廈、百貨商場、名店街、社區型別墅與渡假休閒別墅。產製流程通常為取得土地、用途規劃、建築設計與執照審查、結構施工、裝修與機電施工、使用執照申請、交屋與售後維修。主要客戶依年報分類為一般購屋客戶與其他客戶；2025年度一般購屋客戶銷貨264,911千元、占43%，其他350,348千元、占57%。公司也透過轉投資百貨零售、房仲、飯店休閒與停車場管理等服務型事業降低單一建案入帳波動。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年已完成或推進多項建案：太平洋敦南麗舍位於台北市大安區，2025年法說會揭露銷售率100%、產權總登中；麗澤莊園位於桃園市楊梅區，銷售率100%、2025年第3季全數交屋；太平洋臻美位於桃園市楊梅區，銷售率83%、預計2026年第2季完工；太平洋至臻位於宜蘭縣政中心，銷售率97%、預計2026年第4季完工；太平洋臻藏位於桃園市楊梅區，銷售率100%、預計2027年第2季完工。2025年年報並揭露公司將持續發展台北市中正區詔安街都更案、士林區雨農市場都更案、新北市萬里區翡翠灣整體規劃案、桃園市楊梅區陽光四季大型住宅開發案等，法說會另列示開發時程延伸至2028-2031與2032。2025至2028年主要成長動能在於已售建案後續交屋入帳、自有土地資產活化、都市更新與危老案、楊梅大型住宅開發、翡翠灣及雨農市場等長線開發案，以及智慧住宅、制震住宅、綠建築、低碳工法、BIM與AI施工監測等產品升級。產業趨勢方面，台灣住宅市場受央行選擇性信用管制與銀行限貸影響呈現量縮價穩，自住與換屋需求成主力；AI與半導體投資支撐商用不動產與廠辦需求，但住宅端交易週期拉長。主要風險包括高利率與信用管制壓抑買方貸款能力、房價高檔與人口老化降低部分需求、建材與人工成本上升、碳費帶來鋼筋水泥等高碳建材價格波動、缺工缺料、政府打炒房與法規調整、地緣政治及國際關稅政策不確定性。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 地主／土地所有權人 年報揭露上游包含土地；太設以取得自有土地、合作開發、都更及危老案件作為建案來源，屬類別而非特定掛牌公司。
  • 營造廠與工程承包商 年報揭露上游包含營造業；公司興建工程以發包為主，最近二年度無進貨總額10%以上之單一供應商，因此未能確認特定主要供應商。
  • 建材原物料供應商 年報列示主要原料與成本項目包含鋼筋、水泥、砂石、金屬構件、銅線、油價與運輸成本；未揭露特定直接供應商。
  • 金融機構 年報產業鏈圖示列金融機構為資金供應者；公司面臨央行信用管制與融資成本變動，未揭露單一主要往來金融機構。
Downstream
  • 一般購屋客戶 2025年度主要銷貨客戶分類中，一般購屋客戶銷貨264,911千元、占公司個體銷貨淨額43%；主要為自住及換屋需求。
  • 企業公司／商用不動產客戶 年報產業鏈圖示列企業公司為下游；對應辦公室、店面、停車場、商用大樓及租售需求。
  • 太平洋房屋仲介股份有限公司 太設轉投資公司，經營房屋仲介業務，屬未上市櫃公司；可協助房仲流通與不動產服務。
  • 豐洋興業股份有限公司 太設重要子公司，從事大樓租售、超級市場經營、百貨買賣進出口等，屬未上市櫃公司；支撐集團零售百貨與租賃服務收入。

Competitors

  • 國建 2501 台股上市建設公司，MoneyDJ列為太設國內競爭廠商之一。
  • 冠德 2520 台股上市建設公司，與太設同屬區域住宅、商辦及開發案競爭。
  • 宏璟 2527 台股上市建設公司，MoneyDJ列為競爭廠商之一。
  • 皇普 2528 台股上市建設公司，住宅建案與土地開發業務具可比性。
  • 華建 2530 台股上市建設公司，MoneyDJ列為競爭廠商之一。
  • 宏普 2536 台股上市建設公司，雙北及都會住宅市場具競爭關係。
  • 聯上發 2537 台股上市建設公司，MoneyDJ列為競爭廠商之一。
  • 興富發 2542 台股上市大型建商，推案規模大，為營建開發市場主要競爭者。
  • 皇翔 2545 台股上市建設公司，住宅與商辦開發具競爭關係。
  • 日勝生 2547 台股上市開發商，都市更新、住宅與大型開發案具可比性。
  • 華固 2548 台股上市建設公司，雙北高端住宅與商辦市場具競爭關係。
  • 長虹 5534 台股掛牌建設公司，雙北住宅及商辦開發具競爭關係。
Sources（9）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.