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3004

豐達科 Iron & Steel As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 豐達科 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 45Quality 72Growth 85Momentum 59Chips 81

Is 豐達科 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 72th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 3.4%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 54th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 93th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 6.0% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 56.2%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Neutral -0.07
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — neutral
  • 富邦-新竹 holds 579 lots
  • sellers have 1,098 lots left, ~63 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +17% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 富邦-新竹 has accumulated 579 lots since the start (sold 3%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 華南永昌 peaked at 1,088 lots, has sold 32%, 740 left, ~63 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -4.09pp, mid holders +2, retail -1.28pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -110 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
富邦-新竹台灣摩根士丹利凱基-台北國泰證券元大-天母新光
Distributing
華南永昌統一國泰-館前摩根大通永豐金證券新光-台中
Desks
own scale
元大證券富邦-中壢兆豐證券台新-建北
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 富邦-新竹 +579
    sold 3%· still adding
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 +498
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-台北 +339
    sold 21%· still adding
  • 國泰證券 +327
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 元大-天母 +319
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 新光 +253
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 華南永昌 740 left
    sold 32%· ~63 sessions to clear
  • 統一 52 left
    sold 83%· paused recently
  • 國泰-館前 112 left
    sold 45%· paused recently
  • 摩根大通 74 left
    sold 55%· paused recently
  • 永豐金證券 112 left
    sold 28%· ~49 sessions to clear
  • 新光-台中 107 left
    sold 25%· ~45 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 元大證券 -204
    unclassified
  • 富邦-中壢 -117
    unclassified
  • 兆豐證券 -106
    unclassified
  • 台新-建北 -94
    unclassified
Still selling 1,098 lots ~63 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +2,464 absorbed / -338 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -56 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 56.16%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

106 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 54.4%, Sample 103, Median +2.33%, Excess +1.53%, Beat mkt rate 50.5%；60-day: Win 63.4%, Sample 101, Median +7.04%, Excess +6.77%, Beat mkt rate 53.5%；120-day: Win 60%, Sample 100, Median +7.32%, Excess +6.29%, Beat mkt rate 53%

120 days after: historical avg +12.72%

20-day +2.61%
60-day +9.75%
120-day +12.72%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
54.4%
63.4%
60%
Sample
103
101
100
Median
+2.33%
+7.04%
+7.32%
Excess
+1.53%
+6.77%
+6.29%
Beat mkt rate
50.5%
53.5%
53%

Over 100 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 12.72%, beat the market by 6.29 pts; win rate 60%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 22Insufficient data
20-40 168+40.6% +30% 93.5% -2.9%
40-60 280+31.3% +32.9% 79.3% +5.7%
60-80 741+13.2% +10.9% 62.8% -4.1%
80-100 You are here1164+19.7% +13.3% 65.8% +1.7%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 25.09, at the 92.6th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
Insufficient data
(28d)
+30%
Win rate 72.1% Excess +21%
140d
Now
+5.1%
Win rate 56% Excess -3.2%
1246d
60-day momentum down
-1.4%
Win rate 33.3% Excess -25.2%
96d
+12.8%
Win rate 65.6% Excess +3.3%
363d
+17.2%
Win rate 58.4% Excess +4.2%
622d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1246 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 5.1%, win rate 56%, lagged the market by 3.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

28 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.8%, win rate 50%, beating the market by +3.04 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

43 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.21%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -0.84 pts on average.

What does 豐達科 do? Company profile

鋼鐵工業；航太扣件、航太機加工件與高階工業扣件 上市（台灣證券交易所）

Overview

代號3004對應證券為豐達科技股份有限公司，簡稱豐達科，為台灣證券交易所上市普通股。公司設立於1997年10月14日，2002年2月25日掛牌上市，總部位於桃園市平鎮區太平東路5號。官方基本資料列示產業為鋼鐵工業，主要產品為航太及工業扣件、航太車削件及其他；董事長為蔡豐賜，總經理為林威村。2025年下半年法說會資料列示資本額約新台幣5.6億元、員工人數約900人，營運據點包含台灣桃園總部與生產基地、中國昆山，以及馬來西亞森美蘭州。主要股東為神基投資控股股份有限公司（台股3005），官方法說會稱主要股東為神基；公開董監持股資料顯示神基投資控股為最大法人董事，另有行政院國家發展基金管理會持股。2025年度合併營收為新台幣40.55億元，稅後淨利為新台幣3.31億元，EPS為5.85元；2024年度合併營收為新台幣35.02億元，稅後淨利為新台幣3.76億元，EPS為6.88元。

Business

豐達科核心業務為航太發動機扣件、航太機加工件、航太五金零件、汽車與工業扣件的設計、製造、加工與銷售。公司定位為航太發動機扣件與精密零組件供應商，產品包括航太螺帽、螺栓、CNC機加工件、鍛造成形件，以及汽車用拉帽、鉚螺栓、銅螺帽、車削件、耐高溫螺帽與客製化扣件。2025年1月至11月產品比重依公司法說會為：航太扣件59%（新台幣21.52億元）、航太車削件31%（新台幣11.26億元）、工業扣件10%（新台幣3.72億元）。公司商業模式屬高認證門檻、長產品生命週期的B2B製造供應鏈模式，需通過航太品質、特殊製程與客戶認證後，進入航太引擎OEM、MRO與客戶專案供應鏈。官方法說會資料顯示其為四大航太引擎OEM認證供應商，產品應用於GE Aerospace、Rolls-Royce、Pratt & Whitney、CFM/Safran等主要引擎體系，並覆蓋航空、太空、陸地、海洋、發電、新能源等終端應用。公司策略重點包含深化垂直整合、縮短產品開發週期、提高交付可預測性、智慧製造、自動化、數位化、知識化，以及持續開發利基產品。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年展望偏正向但伴隨成本與供應鏈風險。成長動能方面，全球航空客運復甦、新機交付積壓、航空公司機隊現代化、發動機MRO需求增加，以及LEAP、GTF等新世代引擎交付與維修需求，是豐達科航太扣件與機加工件需求的主要支撐。公司2025年法說會指出，全球飛機發動機市場受更清潔推進技術與高燃油效率需求帶動，2025至2032年市場規模與CAGR預估明顯成長；波音與空巴未交付訂單仍高，且2026年新機製造需求預估再成長。公司亦指出2025年LEAP/GTF交付量預估高於2024年，LEAP需求量遠大於年產能，MRO市場因疫情期間延後維修、新機交付延遲、備用零件短缺而需求旺盛。擴產方面，馬來西亞MY NAFCO PRECISION SDN. BHD.是未來數年重點；馬來西亞M1廠已於2025年4月15日正式啟用，2026年進行客戶稽核，M2新廠房預計2027年第4季竣工，M3廠預計2026年第2季取得廠房使用執照、2026年第4季生產設備進駐，長期用於支援客戶需求、分散基地風險並靠近亞太與東協航太/MRO生態系。新產品與技術方面，公司聚焦飛行安全相關利基產品、航太螺帽/螺栓、機加件、鍛造加工合一、具齒輪結構產品、多元組合扣件系統、航空盲鉚釘、螺套與鉚釘延伸應用，並推動智慧製造與垂直整合。主要風險包括高溫合金與鈦等材料短缺或價格上漲、鑄造與鍛造產能不足、次級零件供應商延誤、匯率波動、馬來西亞新廠初期投資與認證成本、客戶稽核時程不確定、航太品質事故風險、波音/空巴/引擎OEM生產計畫變動、地緣政治與關稅、航空景氣循環，以及新台幣升值對獲利的壓力。2025年公司獲利較2024年下滑，官方新聞稿說明主因包含匯率升值、現金增資員工認股費用與馬來西亞建廠初期費用。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 精剛精密科技 1584 台股上櫃公司，主要從事鈦合金、鎳基合金與特殊合金材料，屬航太零組件產業上游材料供應鏈；未由豐達科公開確認為直接供應商。
  • 榮剛材料科技 5009 台股上櫃公司，特殊鋼、工具鋼與航太材料供應商，屬航太扣件與機加工件可能使用的特殊合金/鋼材上游；未由豐達科公開確認為直接供應商。
  • 中國鋼鐵 2002 台股上市公司，台灣鋼鐵與盤元材料指標廠，屬工業扣件鋼材上游代表企業；未由豐達科公開確認為直接供應商。
  • 華新麗華 1605 台股上市公司，生產不鏽鋼盤元、線材與特殊鋼相關產品，屬扣件產業上游材料鏈代表企業；未由豐達科公開確認為直接供應商。
  • 國際高溫合金、鈦合金與特殊製程供應商 豐達科法說會指出航太引擎供應鏈面臨高溫合金與鈦供應不足、鑄造與鍛造能力不足等議題；具體供應商名單未公開，可能包含美國、歐洲、日本等非台股掛牌材料與特殊製程廠。
Downstream
  • GE Aerospace 美國上市公司（NYSE: GE），主要航太發動機製造商；豐達科法說會列為主要發動機體系與認證/合作對象，產品應用於其航太引擎供應鏈。
  • Safran Aircraft Engines 法國上市Safran集團旗下航太發動機業務，CFM合資夥伴；豐達科法說會列為主要航太發動機體系與合作對象。
  • Pratt & Whitney RTX旗下航太發動機公司，母公司為美國上市公司RTX；豐達科產品應用於PW1100、PW1000 family、PW800等發動機專案。
  • Rolls-Royce 英國上市航太發動機製造商；豐達科法說會列示產品應用於Trent 1000、Trent 900、Trent 800、Trent 700、Trent XWB、RB211等發動機專案。
  • CFM International GE Aerospace與Safran合資的航太發動機公司，非台股掛牌；LEAP引擎為窄體客機關鍵平台，為豐達科航太扣件需求的重要終端驅動。
  • 漢翔航空工業 2634 台股上市航太製造與維修公司，屬台灣航太產業下游客戶/合作生態系代表；未由豐達科公開確認為直接客戶。
  • 長榮航太科技 2645 台股上市航太維修與零組件公司，屬航空MRO下游代表企業；未由豐達科公開確認為直接客戶。

Competitors

  • Howmet Aerospace 美國上市航太扣件與工程零組件大廠，為全球航太扣件領域重要競爭者。
  • LISI Aerospace 法國LISI集團旗下航太扣件與結構零件事業，非台股掛牌，屬全球航太扣件競爭者。
  • Precision Castparts Corp. Berkshire Hathaway旗下美國航太零組件與扣件相關企業，非台股掛牌，屬全球航太零組件競爭者。
  • 漢翔航空工業 2634 台股上市航太製造龍頭，產品範圍與豐達科不完全相同，但同屬台灣航太零組件與系統供應鏈。
  • jpp-KY 5284 台股上櫃航太與伺服器機構件廠，與豐達科同屬台灣航太零組件供應鏈，產品線不完全重疊。
  • 駐龍精密機械 4572 台股上櫃航太精密加工零組件廠，與豐達科航太機加工件業務具可比性。
  • 寶一科技 8222 台股上櫃航太引擎與燃氣渦輪零組件廠，與豐達科同屬航太發動機零組件供應鏈。
  • 晟田科技工業 4541 台股上櫃航太精密零組件廠，屬台灣航太零組件同業。
  • 世德工業 2066 台股上櫃汽車扣件與螺絲螺帽廠，與豐達科工業/汽車扣件業務部分可比。
  • 三星科技 5007 台股上市螺絲螺帽與線材加工廠，屬扣件產業可比同業，但航太認證與產品定位不同。
Sources（13）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.