Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 6462 神盾. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=6462

No install, open FinLab Studio

6462

神盾 Semiconductor As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 神盾 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 28Quality 11Growth 94Momentum 46Chips 8

Is 神盾 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 12th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ -2.5%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 93th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 95th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -6.1% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 135.5%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.47
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 台新 holds 543 lots
  • sellers have 2,287 lots left, ~81 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price -5% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 台新 has accumulated 543 lots since the start (sold 2%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 富邦證券 peaked at 1,629 lots, has sold 81%, 315 left, ~19 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -1.81pp, mid holders -1, retail +1.39pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,141 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
台新富邦-竹科福邦證券永豐金證券群益金鼎-南京兆豐-彰化
Distributing
富邦證券摩根大通新加坡商瑞銀美商高盛港商野村新光-高雄
Desks
own scale
國票-敦北法人美林台灣摩根士丹利元大-忠孝
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 台新 +543
    sold 2%· still adding
  • 富邦-竹科 +300
    sold 0%
  • 福邦證券 +285
    sold 0%
  • 永豐金證券 +226
    sold 0%
  • 群益金鼎-南京 +201
    sold 0%
  • 兆豐-彰化 +195
    sold 21%

Distributing

  • 富邦證券 315 left
    sold 81%· ~19 sessions to clear
  • 摩根大通 735 left
    sold 51%· ~81 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 741 left
    sold 38%· ~67 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 404 left
    sold 45%· ~19 sessions to clear
  • 港商野村 141 left
    sold 76%· paused recently
  • 新光-高雄 52 left
    sold 68%· paused recently

Desks

  • 國票-敦北法人 -765
    unclassified
  • 美林 -645
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -440
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 元大-忠孝 -360
    unclassified
Still selling 2,287 lots ~81 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +756 absorbed / -694 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -1,085 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 135.52%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

72 historical occurrences (since 2015-12-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 51.7%, Sample 58, Median +0.44%, Excess +0.84%, Beat mkt rate 48.3%；60-day: Win 38.6%, Sample 57, Median -4.1%, Excess -2.93%, Beat mkt rate 29.8%；120-day: Win 46.3%, Sample 54, Median -3.9%, Excess -0.44%, Beat mkt rate 38.9%

120 days after: historical avg +7.04%

20-day +2.57%
60-day +1.97%
120-day +7.04%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
51.7%
38.6%
46.3%
Sample
58
57
54
Median
+0.44%
-4.1%
-3.9%
Excess
+0.84%
-2.93%
-0.44%
Beat mkt rate
48.3%
29.8%
38.9%

Over 54 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 7.04%, lagged the market by 0.44 pts; win rate 46.3%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 142-14.2% -13.3% 4.9% -60%
20-40 5Insufficient data
40-60 0Insufficient data
60-80 0Insufficient data
80-100 You are here0Insufficient data

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 82.99, at the 94.8th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
-8.5%
Win rate 11.4% Excess -31.2%
70d
-20.2%
Win rate 0% Excess -25.6%
34d
Insufficient data
(0d)
60-day momentum down
-4%
Win rate 35.1% Excess -27.5%
151d
Insufficient data
(12d)
Now
Insufficient data
(0d)

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

7 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.29%, win rate 42.9%, beating the market by +4.46 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

42 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.27%, win rate 41.5%, beating the market by -5.27 pts on average.

What does 神盾 do? Company profile

半導體業／IC設計、生物辨識感測IC、IP與ASIC設計服務 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

6462 對應神盾股份有限公司，為台灣上櫃普通股，英文名稱 Egis Technology Inc.，英文簡稱 EGIS。公司成立於 2007-12-26，2015-12-23 上櫃，總部位於台北市內湖區瑞光路360號2樓之1。董事長兼總經理為羅森洲。公開資料顯示股本約新台幣9.125億元、已發行普通股約91,250,754股；113年年報截至2025-03-31員工人數656人，113年底為595人。113年年報揭露前十大股東包括羅森洲9.87%、謝清江3.84%、張強森3.54%、Point72投資專戶2.27%、何諺甫1.45%、JP Morgan相關保管專戶1.17%、先進星光基金相關專戶1.12%、凌陽科技1.10%、沈瑋1.06%、Vanguard新興市場基金相關專戶1.01%。113年底神盾重要轉投資包括安國國際科技20.47%、乾瞻科技100%、芯鼎科技18.66%、神雋等多家公司。

Business

神盾原核心業務為生物辨識感測IC與相關軟硬體方案，產品包含被動式電容指紋辨識感測方案、屏下光學指紋辨識方案、指紋獨立運算晶片、飛時測距ToF感測晶片、環境亮度與接近感應晶片；應用於智慧型手機、筆記型電腦、平板、車用、金融支付、安全監控、IoT裝置等。合併集團近年擴張至資訊及消費性產品周邊與控制IC、無線音頻控制IC、NRE設計服務、ASIC晶圓產品、IP授權與技術服務。113年度營收淨額新台幣47.95億元，產品比重為生物辨識感測IC及其應用43.35%、資訊及消費性產品周邊及控制IC23.58%、無線音頻控制IC7.20%、NRE設計服務與ASIC及晶圓產品15.07%、IP授權8.35%、技術服務1.18%、其他1.27%。銷售地區以亞洲外銷為主，113年度亞洲外銷約80.84%、內銷19.15%。商業模式為無晶圓IC設計、軟硬體整合、IP授權、NRE設計服務與ASIC晶圓銷售；製造端仰賴晶圓代工、封裝與測試夥伴。主要客戶未完整揭露，年報提及透過Fingerprint Cards合作整合行動裝置技術與客戶，目標滲透陸系大廠與Google等全球品牌；113年重大事項亦提及聯想集團曾就指紋辨識器供應合約相關專利訴訟成本來函，顯示筆電品牌供應鏈亦為相關應用場景。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025至2028年主要觀察軸為從傳統指紋辨識IC轉向AI、HPC、IP與ASIC設計服務的轉型能否兌現。公司113年年報指出，P Sensor與dToF晶片已於客戶端完成驗證，預計2025年量產出貨；並將透過FPC授權協議整合技術與客戶，擴大陸系品牌與Google等全球品牌滲透率。公司亦整合安國、星河、乾瞻等資源打造端到端IP/ASIC平台，聚焦AI/HPC、車用、儲存與基礎元件IP，並與Arm取得Neoverse V3架構授權、與韓國ASICLAND合作高端資料中心AI HPC Server Chiplet，初期從IO Die切入，結合UCIe、LPDDR5等IP、台積電7奈米製程與CoWoS先進封裝。2026年以後的成長動能可能來自安國AI ASIC/NRE收入、乾瞻高速介面與先進製程IP、AI伺服器與AI PC需求、車用電子與智慧家庭應用、以及指紋感測在筆電與車用的延伸。風險包括：中國IC設計業者低價競爭與通縮式內捲、消費性電子復甦速度不確定、長期虧損與研發費用率偏高、併購與轉投資整合風險、現金流與負債壓力、IP/ASIC專案認列時點波動、先進製程與封裝產能取得、地緣政治與出口管制、專利訴訟與客戶合約責任。2025年媒體報導神盾全年仍虧損、EPS約-17.51元，但2026年1月合併營收受安國NRE與AI ASIC專案挹注創高；該等數字需以公司正式財報與公開資訊觀測站公告為準。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 台灣積體電路製造股份有限公司 2330 晶圓代工與先進製程供應鏈關係；年報提及AI HPC Server Chiplet合作方案搭配台積電7奈米製程。
  • 安謀控股／Arm Limited 英國IP架構供應商，美國Nasdaq掛牌母公司Arm Holdings；神盾與Arm簽訂Neoverse V3架構授權，支援伺服器級AI與HPC設計。
  • ASICLAND Co., Ltd. 韓國ASIC設計服務公司，非台股掛牌；與神盾簽署戰略合作，開發高端資料中心AI HPC Server Chiplet，初期聚焦IO Die。
  • Fingerprint Cards AB 瑞典生物辨識感測廠商，非台股掛牌；神盾與其簽訂專屬合作協議，接手行動裝置產線相關技術、智財權與客戶資源。
  • 乾瞻科技股份有限公司 神盾100%持有之未上市IP公司；提供先進製程高速介面、UCIe、LPDDR5、基礎元件與AI/HPC相關IP，是神盾轉型IP/ASIC平台的重要技術來源。
  • 安國國際科技股份有限公司 8054 神盾持股20.47%的上櫃轉投資公司；集團ASIC/IP與AI ASIC專案核心之一，年報提及其與星河、乾瞻整合，並在CoWoS先進封裝方案中扮演角色。
Downstream
  • Google 美國上市科技公司；年報提及透過FPC技術整合後，有助進一步滲透Google等全球品牌行動裝置客戶。
  • 聯想集團 香港上市PC品牌商，非台股掛牌；年報提及聯想就指紋辨識器供應合約相關專利訴訟成本來函，顯示其為神盾指紋辨識器相關應用供應鏈客戶或終端品牌之一。
  • 陸系智慧型手機品牌客戶 未逐一揭露公司名稱；年報提及神盾透過FPC授權與技術整合，將進一步滲透陸系大廠與全球品牌。
  • 筆記型電腦、車用、金融支付、安全監控與IoT客戶 多數未公開具名；為神盾指紋辨識、ToF、環境光感測、低功耗AI與IP/ASIC方案的終端應用市場。
  • 奇邑科技股份有限公司 未上市公司；神盾集團透過神雋與奇邑股權轉換取得實質控制，結合奇邑物聯網感測與通路，延伸雲端、邊緣到裝置端解決方案。

Competitors

Sources（8）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.