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8016

矽創 Semiconductor As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 矽創 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 53Quality 73Growth 80Momentum 82Chips 51

Is 矽創 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 66th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 4.3%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 40th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 91th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.5% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 39.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.73
BearishNeutralBullish

Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish

  • Institutional rotation, concentration steady — bullish
  • 國泰證券 holds 2,303 lots
  • sellers have 2,938 lots left, ~64 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +56% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 國泰證券 has accumulated 2,303 lots since the start (sold 19%), now trimming.
  • Main distributor 新加坡商瑞銀 peaked at 3,210 lots, has sold 30%, 2,263 left, ~64 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -0.19pp, mid holders +14, retail -6.27pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -729 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
國泰證券永豐金-匯立花旗環球美林摩根大通港商麥格理
Distributing
新加坡商瑞銀永豐金證券國泰-敦南台新-建北國票-南京國票證券
Desks
own scale
凱基富邦證券香港上海匯豐元大證券
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 國泰證券 +2,303
    sold 19%
  • 永豐金-匯立 +1,797
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 花旗環球 +1,649
    sold 4%· still adding
  • 美林 +1,622
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 摩根大通 +1,286
    sold 8%· still adding
  • 港商麥格理 +568
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 新加坡商瑞銀 2,263 left
    sold 30%· ~64 sessions to clear
  • 永豐金證券 383 left
    sold 34%· ~45 sessions to clear
  • 國泰-敦南 157 left
    sold 50%· ~22 sessions to clear
  • 台新-建北 19 left
    sold 87%· paused recently
  • 國票-南京 56 left
    sold 33%· paused recently
  • 國票證券 52 left
    sold 30%· paused recently

Desks

  • 凱基 -609
    unclassified
  • 富邦證券 -437
    unclassified
  • 香港上海匯豐 -372
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 元大證券 -346
    unclassified
Still selling 2,938 lots ~64 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +3,058 absorbed / -664 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -587 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Mixed direction: big-holder and retail changes are not aligned.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 39.84%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

100 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 60%, Sample 80, Median +2.67%, Excess +1.48%, Beat mkt rate 58.8%；60-day: Win 56.4%, Sample 78, Median +2.42%, Excess +2.67%, Beat mkt rate 47.4%；120-day: Win 50%, Sample 76, Median +0.21%, Excess +3.11%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +4.53%

20-day +2.26%
60-day +4.77%
120-day +4.53%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60%
56.4%
50%
Sample
80
78
76
Median
+2.67%
+2.42%
+0.21%
Excess
+1.48%
+2.67%
+3.11%
Beat mkt rate
58.8%
47.4%
50%

Over 76 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 4.53%, beat the market by 3.11 pts; win rate 50%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 744+27% +19.6% 70.6% +15.5%
20-40 416+40.7% +27.9% 82% +17.1%
40-60 561+37.8% +24.8% 67.2% +9.6%
60-80 396+31.8% +31% 73.5% +18.5%
80-100 You are here888+13.5% +1.6% 51.9% +1.6%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 18.56, at the 91.3th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+9.4%
Win rate 60.1% Excess +3.8%
419d
+11.5%
Win rate 63.1% Excess -0.3%
558d
Now
+14.3%
Win rate 60.2% Excess +7.8%
901d
60-day momentum down
+20.6%
Win rate 73% Excess +13.6%
588d
+15.1%
Win rate 61.4% Excess +0.9%
417d
-2.4%
Win rate 19.8% Excess -10.9%
242d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 901 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 14.3%, win rate 60.2%, beat the market by 7.8%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

30 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.89%, win rate 48.3%, beating the market by -1.95 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

64 times historically; 60-day forward avg +6.96%, win rate 61.3%, beating the market by +2.23 pts on average.

What does 矽創 do? Company profile

半導體業；IC設計、顯示器驅動IC與感測IC 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

8016 對應證券為矽創電子，普通股，上市市場為台灣證券交易所，產業別為半導體。公司依法成立日期依台股基本資料為 1992/07/09；公司官網沿革則稱 Sitronix 團隊於 1998 年成立，2003 年以代號 8016 掛牌上市。總部位於新竹縣竹北市台元一街5號11樓之1。董事長為毛穎文（Vincent Mao）；總經理依 Yahoo 股市 2026/01/31 公司資料為劉孟煌。實收資本額約新台幣 1,201,368,760 元，已發行普通股 120,136,876 股。公司官網沿革稱集團已成長至超過 600 人。2025 年合併營收為新台幣 190.01932 億元，年增約 6.59%；毛利率 31%，營業利益 21.24041 億元，歸屬母公司淨利 17.45038 億元，EPS 14.66 元。2025 年盈餘分配案董事會提議現金股利每股 11.5 元。主要股東依公司官網重大股東頁（頁面標示 2023/04/23）包括 Capital Tip Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF 8.97%、復華台灣科技優息 ETF 保管戶 4.54%、元大台灣價值高息 ETF 保管戶 4.24%、元大台灣高息低波 ETF 保管戶 3.61%、谷明投資 2.80%、廣穎電通 2.62%、林文彬 1.83%、毛穎文 1.47% 等；2025 年股東會手冊另揭露董事合計持股 9,167,260 股，含毛穎文 1,771,699 股、林文彬 2,200,000 股、鄭奕禧 1,611,052 股、廣穎電通 3,150,000 股。集團重要子公司包括昇佳電子（6732，感測IC）、力領科技（6996，車用顯示驅動IC）、mCore Technology、INFSitronix、Sync-Tech System 等。

Business

矽創為無晶圓廠 IC 設計公司，核心產品為中小尺寸顯示器驅動IC（DDI），並延伸至觸控顯示整合IC（TDDI）、工控顯示驅動IC、車用顯示驅動IC、AIoT與穿戴裝置DDI、中尺寸TFT-LCD驅動IC、電容式觸控控制IC、MCU、電源管理/電機調節器、光學與MEMS感測器等。2025 年財報揭露營收按產品大類為積體電路 179.8466 億元、約佔 94.65%，其他 10.17272 億元、約佔 5.35%。按出貨指定地區，2025 年香港 126.63854 億元、約 66.65%，中國 25.41375 億元、約 13.37%，越南 14.88610 億元、約 7.83%，台灣 13.00846 億元、約 6.85%，南韓 4.48129 億元、約 2.36%，其他 5.59118 億元、約 2.94%。公司僅以單一營運部門揭露，未在財報中細分終端產品占比；市場資料估計 2025 年第一季產品結構約為物聯網裝置 DDI 33%、工控用 DDI 14%、感測器 27%、車載 DDI 15%、手機 DDI 10-12%，此屬第三方估計。商業模式為 IC 設計、委外晶圓製造與封測後銷售，客戶包含面板模組、系統廠、品牌廠、車用Tier-1、智慧手機與穿戴/AIoT終端供應鏈。終端應用涵蓋功能型手機、智慧型手機、穿戴裝置、智慧音箱、智慧家電、POS、行車記錄器、醫療/工控設備、車用儀表、HUD、電子後照鏡、中控顯示與車用旋鈕顯示等。公司 2025 年財報揭露單一客戶 A 營收 15.34972 億元、佔 8%，低於 10%，未揭露實名。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025 年已驗證的成長基礎包括合併營收 190.01932 億元、年增 6.59%，積體電路仍為主要收入來源；但毛利率由 2024 年 34% 降至 2025 年 31%，顯示產品組合、價格競爭或成本端壓力仍需追蹤。公司官網 2025 年技術進展包括整合光感與近接感測的 TDDI、高靈敏抗干擾工控 TDDI、大尺寸智慧家庭 TDDI、HUD 安全偵測功能並通過客戶應用驗證、提升 OSD 元素與顯示品質的 DDI、下一代皮膚感測晶片、單晶片加速度感測器。2026 年官方月營收截至 4 月累計 74.36288 億元、年增 26.73%，顯示短期拉貨與新應用動能較 2025 年同期強，但 2026 全年仍取決於消費電子復甦、車用與工控專案量產節奏。2025-2028 的主要成長動能推估為：一、零電容與低功耗顯示驅動技術擴大到 AIoT、穿戴、智慧家庭與工控；二、力領科技聚焦車用顯示驅動IC，HUD、電子後照鏡、中控與Tier-1/面板廠合作有機會提升單價與設計黏著度；三、昇佳電子的光學、近接、InP、皮膚偵測、氣壓與MEMS感測器可受惠於非蘋手機、穿戴與智慧家電感測需求；四、集團透過 mCore 100% 收購整合消費顯示與語音/音訊方案資源。主要風險包括：DDI 技術成熟導致中國與韓系廠商價格競爭、手機與消費性電子需求循環、面板產業庫存調整、車用設計導入週期長且驗證成本高、香港/中國出貨集中度高帶來地緣政治與客戶集中風險、匯率波動、晶圓代工與封測產能/價格、以及子公司少數股權與集團整合後的管理複雜度。2027-2028 公司未發布量化財測；以上為依公司產品路線與產業趨勢之推估。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 台積電 2330 晶圓代工龍頭；驅動IC與IC設計公司常用晶圓代工供應鏈之一。未查得矽創逐一揭露供應商名單，列為產業鏈推估。
  • 聯華電子 2303 成熟製程晶圓代工供應商；驅動IC產業常見上游。未查得矽創逐一揭露供應商名單，列為產業鏈推估。
  • 世界先進 5347 成熟製程晶圓代工供應商；驅動IC產業常見上游。未查得矽創逐一揭露供應商名單，列為產業鏈推估。
  • 力積電 6770 成熟製程晶圓代工供應商；驅動IC產業常見上游。未查得矽創逐一揭露供應商名單，列為產業鏈推估。
  • 頎邦科技 6147 顯示驅動IC封裝測試、BUMP、COF/COG 等服務供應商；未查得矽創直接供應商名單，列為同產業上游封測關係推估。
  • 南茂科技 8150 顯示驅動IC與混合訊號IC封測服務供應商；未查得矽創直接供應商名單，列為同產業上游封測關係推估。
  • 日月光投控 3711 全球封測服務供應商；可能服務IC設計業，未查得矽創直接供應商名單，列為產業鏈推估。
  • 新特系統 矽創集團子公司 Sync-Tech System，業務為半導體耗材與測試設備設計、製造與維修；非上市櫃公司或未確認上市櫃代號。
Downstream
  • 力領科技 6996 矽創子公司，聚焦車用多功能整合顯示驅動IC，服務車用顯示、HUD、電子後照鏡、中控與Tier-1/面板廠需求。
  • 昇佳電子 6732 矽創子公司，聚焦光學、近接、MEMS與其他感測IC；下游應用於非蘋手機、穿戴與智慧裝置。
  • 友達光電 2409 台灣面板廠，屬顯示驅動IC下游面板產業；未查得矽創直接客戶揭露，列為產業鏈關係推估。
  • 群創光電 3481 台灣面板廠，屬顯示驅動IC下游面板產業；未查得矽創直接客戶揭露，列為產業鏈關係推估。
  • Amazon 媒體報導矽創參與具顯示螢幕智慧音箱供應鏈；美國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 小米集團 媒體報導矽創參與具顯示螢幕智慧音箱或終端品牌供應鏈；香港上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 三星電子 昇佳與力領相關報導提及韓系手機/顯示客戶或認證；韓國上市公司，非台股掛牌。
  • 華為 媒體報導昇佳深耕非蘋手機客戶包含華為；未上市且非台股掛牌。
  • OPPO 媒體報導昇佳深耕非蘋手機客戶包含 OPPO；未上市且非台股掛牌。
  • vivo 媒體報導昇佳深耕非蘋手機客戶包含 vivo；未上市且非台股掛牌。

Competitors

  • 聯詠科技 3034 台灣主要顯示器驅動IC與SoC供應商，與矽創在DDI、TDDI、車用與消費顯示應用部分重疊。
  • 瑞鼎科技 3592 台灣顯示驅動IC供應商，產品涵蓋LCD/OLED驅動IC，為面板驅動IC同業。
  • 天鈺科技 4961 台灣驅動IC、電源管理與混合訊號IC公司，與矽創在DDI與周邊IC部分競爭。
  • 敦泰電子 3545 台灣觸控與顯示驅動IC供應商，與矽創在觸控/顯示整合方案部分重疊。
  • 晶宏半導體 3141 台灣LCD驅動IC與顯示相關IC公司，屬中小尺寸顯示驅動IC同業。
  • 譜瑞-KY 4966 高速傳輸與顯示介面IC公司，部分顯示與面板供應鏈應用可能重疊。
  • 奇景光電 Himax Technologies，美國 Nasdaq 上市，顯示驅動IC與影像/顯示方案供應商，非台股上市櫃。
  • Raydium Semiconductor 瑞鼎英文同業名稱常見於國際顯示驅動IC市場名單；若指台灣瑞鼎則台股代號為 3592。
  • Synaptics 美國上市觸控、顯示與人機介面晶片公司，非台股掛牌。
  • Samsung System LSI 三星電子旗下系統半導體部門，DDI/OLED 驅動IC競爭者；韓國上市，非台股掛牌。
  • LX Semicon 韓國顯示驅動IC公司，非台股掛牌。
  • FocalTech Systems 觸控與顯示驅動IC供應商，非台股上市櫃；與矽創在手機/觸控顯示方案競爭。
Sources（19）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.