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2464

盟立 Other Electronics As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 盟立 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 13Quality 36Growth 74Momentum 95Chips 33

Is 盟立 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 34th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.0%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 95th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 97th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -0.8% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 30.8%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.43
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 凱基-台北 holds 3,396 lots
  • sellers have 19,125 lots left, ~224 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +142% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 凱基-台北 has accumulated 3,396 lots since the start (sold 9%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 美商高盛 peaked at 11,700 lots, has sold 31%, 8,064 left, ~48 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +10.52pp, mid holders +22, retail -13.22pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -239 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
凱基-台北中國信託-忠孝中國信託福邦證券元大-大統國票-天祥
Distributing
美商高盛新加坡商瑞銀美林摩根大通台灣摩根士丹利港商野村
Desks
own scale
兆豐-板橋富邦-台北國票-安和永豐金證券
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 凱基-台北 +3,396
    sold 9%· still adding
  • 中國信託-忠孝 +1,560
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 中國信託 +955
    sold 21%
  • 福邦證券 +543
    sold 0%
  • 元大-大統 +536
    sold 0%
  • 國票-天祥 +497
    sold 0%· still adding

Distributing

  • 美商高盛 8,064 left
    sold 31%· ~48 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 3,322 left
    sold 54%· ~14 sessions to clear
  • 美林 2,829 left
    sold 47%· ~111 sessions to clear
  • 摩根大通 1,573 left
    sold 69%· ~7 sessions to clear
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 763 left
    sold 81%· ~12 sessions to clear
  • 港商野村 946 left
    sold 73%· ~16 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 兆豐-板橋 -1,135
    unclassified
  • 富邦-台北 -866
    unclassified
  • 國票-安和 -739
    unclassified
  • 永豐金證券 -564
    unclassified
Still selling 19,125 lots ~224 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +3,465 absorbed / -8,809 sold sellers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 30.83%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

63 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 52.6%, Sample 57, Median +0.46%, Excess +0.82%, Beat mkt rate 50.9%；60-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 56, Median +4.44%, Excess +2.29%, Beat mkt rate 51.8%；120-day: Win 71.4%, Sample 56, Median +8.43%, Excess +4.76%, Beat mkt rate 67.9%

120 days after: historical avg +9.26%

20-day +1.32%
60-day +5.11%
120-day +9.26%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
52.6%
62.5%
71.4%
Sample
57
56
56
Median
+0.46%
+4.44%
+8.43%
Excess
+0.82%
+2.29%
+4.76%
Beat mkt rate
50.9%
51.8%
67.9%

Over 56 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 9.26%, beat the market by 4.76 pts; win rate 71.4%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 413+11% +8.3% 67.3% -12%
20-40 465+22.5% +16.2% 87.5% +5.3%
40-60 426+16.6% +15.1% 89.2% +3%
60-80 553+11.2% +4.5% 66% +6%
80-100 You are here973+28.1% +8.3% 66% +14.1%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 128.04, at the 96.9th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+5.7%
Win rate 57% Excess -1%
230d
+10.3%
Win rate 71.7% Excess +2.1%
473d
+7.6%
Win rate 50.3% Excess +1.4%
993d
60-day momentum down
+12.4%
Win rate 62.5% Excess +5.9%
365d
+6.2%
Win rate 73.5% Excess +4.6%
377d
Now
+13.6%
Win rate 68% Excess +4.2%
512d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 512 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 13.6%, win rate 68%, beat the market by 4.2%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

25 times historically; 60-day forward avg +9.69%, win rate 54.2%, beating the market by +7.14 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

63 times historically; 60-day forward avg +4.65%, win rate 61.9%, beating the market by +1.99 pts on average.

What does 盟立 do? Company profile

其他電子業；智慧自動化、半導體自動化設備與系統整合 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

2464 對應證券為盟立自動化股份有限公司普通股，於台灣證券交易所上市。公司成立於1989年2月2日，源自工研院機械所團隊，總部位於新竹市科學園區研發二路3號，2001年9月17日上市。公開股市資料顯示資本額約新台幣20.64億元；員工規模公開資料約579人，但不同資料庫口徑可能不同。公司最新治理變動為2026年6月16日董事會通過原董事長孫弘辭任董事長並轉任榮譽董事長，由原執行長林世東接任董事長，林世東亦為總經理/經營團隊核心主管。主要股東與董事相關持股包括義美食品股份有限公司、聯盛投資股份有限公司、創辦人孫弘及高志明等；2025年董事改選公告列示義美食品持股11,919,382股、聯盛投資代表人李維真所屬聯盛投資持股9,223,099股、孫弘持股4,210,558股、高志明持股1,501,251股。公司主要據點包含新竹總部、苗栗銅鑼廠、台中后里廠、南科據點及中國大陸子公司/服務據點。

Business

盟立的核心商業模式是承接客戶整廠或製程段自動化專案，提供硬體設備、控制系統、搬運倉儲系統、軟體整合、安裝維護與技術服務，收入通常隨客戶資本支出、專案驗收與設備交付進度認列。主要產品與服務包括半導體智能自動化系統、OHT空中搬運、AMHS自動物料搬運、Stocker倉儲、EFEM、Panel Handling、智慧物流/自動倉儲、工業機器人與應用系統、光電面板自動化、AI數位科技產品與工業控制器。MoneyDJ彙整資料顯示2024年產品營收比重為半導體智能自動化系統47%、光電面板智能自動化系統21%、智能機器人及應用系統16%、AI數位科技產品服務6%、其他自動化產品10%；2025年11月法說會相關報導指出半導體設備系統營收占比已升至57%。2024年主要銷售區域為台灣約59%、中國大陸約36%。主要客戶與應用包括台積電等晶圓代工/先進封裝廠，台塑、關貿等資訊與物流系統客戶，友達、群創、京東方等面板客戶，以及廣達、華亞科、頂新集團等自動化或產線需求客戶；部分客戶名單來自產業資料彙整，非公司逐案正式揭露。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年為轉型壓力期，公開報導指出受美國關稅、匯損及部分客戶投資時程延後影響，全年營收66.81億元、年減約10.95%，EPS為-0.84元，屬上市以來少見虧損年度。不過2026年起成長動能明顯轉向半導體先進封裝與自動化物流：公司在2025年底法說會表示未來5至10年著重半導體，2026年半導體設備營收占比目標達60%以上；2026年6月報導指出盟立已切入台積電CoWoS及新世代CoPoS供應鏈，5月營收7.02億元、年增30.8%，前5月營收32.21億元、年增15.2%，在手訂單重回百億元，訂單能見度管理層稱可看三年。2026至2028年主要成長驅動包括AI/HPC帶動CoWoS、CoPoS、CoWoP、FOPLP、玻璃基板與高階IC載板擴產，對OHT、Stocker、EFEM、Panel Handling、多尺寸載具與高潔淨搬運系統需求增加；半導體客戶前段晶圓廠、後段封裝與載板廠物流自動化滲透率提升；智能物流向東南亞、歐美市場拓展；具身智能/人形機器人、巡檢與工站輔助機器人、諧波減速機與關節模組透過盟英科技等轉投資布局。主要風險為半導體資本支出週期反轉、台積電與少數大客戶訂單集中、專案驗收遞延造成營收波動、匯率與關稅、海外專案執行成本、先進封裝技術路線變化、機器人量產時程不確定、競爭者價格壓力，以及2026年股價已大幅反映題材後的評價風險。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 安川電機 日本上市公司；MoneyDJ資料指出盟立機器人應用系統部分採用安川MOTOMAN系列機器人，屬工業機器人與伺服/控制設備供應商。
  • FANUC 日本上市公司；工業機器人與FA控制設備大廠，亦為盟立在工業機器人領域的國際競爭與供應鏈參考對象。
  • Intel 美國上市公司；公開產業資料列為控制器CPU等電子零組件來源之一。
  • Analog Devices 美國上市公司；公開產業資料列為A/D、D/A轉換器等控制器關鍵零組件來源之一。
  • 台達電子 2308 台股上市公司；伺服、電源、工業自動化與驅控產品供應鏈關聯度高，亦有報導指出盟英科技成為台達電相關供應鏈夥伴。
  • 上銀科技 2049 台股上市公司；線性滑軌、滾珠螺桿、機器人與傳動元件供應商，也被市場視為諧波減速機/機器人關鍵零組件競爭參考。
  • 盟英科技 未上市轉投資/關係企業；盟立與和大等投資成立，聚焦諧波減速機及機器人關節套件，為盟立機器人布局的關鍵零組件來源之一。
Downstream
  • 台灣積體電路製造 2330 台股上市公司；半導體晶圓代工與先進封裝客戶，公開報導指出盟立為CoWoS重要設備夥伴並切入CoPoS自動化系統供應鏈。
  • 友達光電 2409 台股上市公司；面板自動化設備與產線系統客戶之一。
  • 群創光電 3481 台股上市公司；面板自動化設備與產線系統客戶之一。
  • 廣達電腦 2382 台股上市公司；公開產業資料列為自動化設備客戶之一，終端應用涵蓋電子製造與智慧工廠。
  • 台灣塑膠工業 1301 台股上市公司；公開產業資料列為資訊設備系統客戶之一。
  • 關貿網路 6183 台股上市公司；公開產業資料列為資訊設備系統客戶之一。
  • 京東方科技集團 中國大陸上市公司，非台股；公開產業資料列為面板設備客戶之一。
  • 科達利實業 中國大陸上市公司，非台股；2026年公告/報導提及盟立擬與其合作或投資，屬海外製造與自動化應用合作對象。

Competitors

  • 致茂電子 2360 台股上市公司；自動化測試、量測與設備系統，為電子與半導體設備領域競爭者。
  • 均豪精密工業 5443 台股上櫃公司；半導體、面板製程與檢測設備，MoneyDJ列為自動化設備競爭者。
  • 廣運機械工程 6125 台股上市公司；自動化物流、倉儲與搬運系統，為智能物流與自動化設備競爭者。
  • 高僑自動化科技 6234 台股上櫃公司；自動化設備與系統整合，為相關設備競爭者。
  • 迅得機械 6438 台股上市公司；PCB、載板、面板及半導體相關自動化設備，為設備與搬運自動化競爭者。
  • 東捷科技 8064 台股上市公司；面板、半導體與自動化設備，MoneyDJ列為自動化設備競爭者。
  • 鈦昇科技 8027 台股上櫃公司；雷射與半導體/電子製程設備，與盟立部分半導體設備應用市場重疊。
  • 辛耘企業 3583 台股上市公司；半導體設備代理、再生晶圓與製程設備服務，屬半導體設備供應鏈競爭/同業比較對象。
  • 帆宣系統科技 6196 台股上市公司；半導體廠務、設備與系統整合，與盟立在半導體自動化/廠務整合需求中具同業比較性。
  • 上銀科技 2049 台股上市公司；工業機器人、傳動與線性元件，為盟立機器人與減速機布局的競爭參考。
  • FANUC 日本上市公司，非台股；全球工業機器人與FA設備大廠，為工業機器人國際競爭者。
  • Yaskawa Electric 日本上市公司，非台股；工業機器人、伺服與運動控制大廠，為機器人應用系統競爭者與供應鏈參考。
Sources（20）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.