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8155

博智 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

steady quality, fair valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 博智 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 25Quality 79Growth 73Momentum 92Chips 13

Is 博智 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Above-average profitability.Operating margin is in the 73th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 5.5%.

  • Valuation is neutral.PE is in the 75th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 98th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -4.1% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 29.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.33
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution to retail — bearish

  • Distribution to retail — bearish
  • 富邦證券 holds 1,061 lots
  • sellers have 765 lots left, ~500 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +137% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 富邦證券 has accumulated 1,061 lots since the start (sold 0%), holding.
  • Main distributor 統一 peaked at 1,218 lots, has sold 71%, 350 left, ~500 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -7.76pp, mid holders -5, retail +11.06pp — drifting down to retail.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -2,447 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
富邦證券花旗環球台新摩根大通華南永昌-台中香港上海匯豐
Distributing
統一華南永昌凱基中國信託-忠孝國票-安和群益金鼎-台北
Desks
own scale
美商高盛美林凱基-城中台灣摩根士丹利
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 富邦證券 +1,061
    sold 0%
  • 花旗環球 +675
    sold 10%· still adding
  • 台新 +635
    sold 7%· still adding
  • 摩根大通 +488
    sold 23%· still adding
  • 華南永昌-台中 +402
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 香港上海匯豐 +349
    sold 16%

Distributing

  • 統一 350 left
    sold 71%· ~500 sessions to clear
  • 華南永昌 144 left
    sold 66%· paused recently
  • 凱基 70 left
    sold 83%· paused recently
  • 中國信託-忠孝 58 left
    sold 81%· paused recently
  • 國票-安和 41 left
    sold 86%· paused recently
  • 群益金鼎-台北 30 left
    sold 86%· paused recently

Desks

  • 美商高盛 -948
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 美林 -868
    hedge desk · will cover
  • 凱基-城中 -779
    unclassified
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 -731
    hedge desk · will cover
Still selling 765 lots ~500 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +918 absorbed / -182 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -2,057 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 29.64%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

87 historical occurrences (since 2012-12-18)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 60.5%, Sample 81, Median +3%, Excess +3.39%, Beat mkt rate 50.6%；60-day: Win 62%, Sample 79, Median +7.05%, Excess +7.9%, Beat mkt rate 53.2%；120-day: Win 61.8%, Sample 76, Median +5.44%, Excess +7.75%, Beat mkt rate 50%

120 days after: historical avg +15.81%

20-day +4.84%
60-day +12.17%
120-day +15.81%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
60.5%
62%
61.8%
Sample
81
79
76
Median
+3%
+7.05%
+5.44%
Excess
+3.39%
+7.9%
+7.75%
Beat mkt rate
50.6%
53.2%
50%

Over 76 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 15.81%, beat the market by 7.75 pts; win rate 61.8%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 240+70.9% +64.7% 95% +50.4%
20-40 339+85.6% +61.5% 95.3% +69.8%
40-60 405+88.1% +58.9% 81% +71.5%
60-80 246+43.2% +9.7% 67.5% +29.1%
80-100 You are here1071+14.9% -8.5% 44.5% -8.2%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 49.46, at the 97.5th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+24.6%
Win rate 97.1% Excess +13.4%
138d
+49.6%
Win rate 85.8% Excess +39.4%
330d
Now
+22.8%
Win rate 60.4% Excess +13.1%
1048d
60-day momentum down
+31%
Win rate 74.2% Excess +20.8%
279d
+11.3%
Win rate 51.5% Excess +0.4%
295d
+2.7%
Win rate 56.2% Excess -7.8%
331d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 1048 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 22.8%, win rate 60.4%, beat the market by 13.1%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

30 times historically; 60-day forward avg +13.19%, win rate 60%, beating the market by +9.1 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

44 times historically; 60-day forward avg +7.33%, win rate 56.8%, beating the market by +2.14 pts on average.

What does 博智 do? Company profile

電子零組件業／印刷電路板（PCB） 櫃買中心上櫃

Overview

8155 對應證券為博智電子股份有限公司，屬櫃買中心上櫃普通股，產品類別為電子零組件業，上櫃日期為 2012-12-18。公司設立於 1995-04-26，總部與主要生產據點位於桃園市龍潭區烏林里工二路128號，前身與早期業務以雙面及多層印刷電路板製造加工買賣為主，2004年前後更名為博智電子。董事長為張永青，總經理為洪輝龍。公司官網公司簡介揭露註冊資本額約新台幣5.58億元、員工約1,000人；2026年3月法說會揭露員工人數已達1,100人以上，2026年2月資料之總股數為59,891,650股，主要股東為仁寶集團18,501,518股、持股30.89%，研華集團3,585,230股、持股5.99%，合計36.88%。第三方股市資料於2026年前後顯示實收資本額約新台幣6.07億元，與公司2026年2月法說總股數存在時間差，實際股本應以公開資訊觀測站最新公告為準。公司歷史里程碑包含2017年Intel Purley平台伺服器量產、2019年全球知名網通廠認證通過、2020年全球知名ATE公司認證通過、2021年Intel Whitley與AMD EPYC Rome相關平台量產／送樣、2022年Intel Eagle Stream與AMD Genoa送樣、2023年多種AI Server量產。

Business

博智為高階硬板PCB製造商，主力產品為多層硬板、高層數伺服器板、IPC工業電腦板、Networking網通板、IC測試板、Probe Card／Load Board／測試設備用PCB等。公司官網表示產品應用包含Server、Networking、IPC與IC測試板，具備背鑽、VIPPO、Laser Via、Sequential Stack等混合製程經驗，2026年法說揭露製造能力涵蓋2至72層、最大板厚8.0mm，核心能力含VIPPO、Skip Via、Flip Drilling、Sintering、HDI、Backdrill、Press Fit與SI電性實驗室。2025年法說揭露新租廠房2025年第2季量產、增加約20%產能；2026年法說揭露新租廠房2026年已投產，越南ACM新廠預計2027年量產，博智持股70%、Meiko持股30%。營收結構方面，2024年鉅亨網引用法說指出營收36.16億元、年增25.01%，伺服器用板約80%、工業電腦板約20%；2026年法說揭露2025年營收約49.50億元、年增37%，應用別為Server 88%、IPC加Networking 11%、Others 1%，層別結構為14至20層51%、22至34層以上26%、2至12層23%。商業模式為承接全球伺服器、工業電腦、網通、IC與ATE測試等高階PCB需求，透過材料方案、工程認證、量產良率與交期服務取得平台導入；因高階伺服器PCB認證期約3季至1年、新供應商認證時間長，形成進入障礙。2026年法說列示其於AI伺服器PCB的角色包括NVIDIA HGX Server Series的Intel／AMD／Ampere CPU mainboard、配卡、Backplane，NVIDIA VR200 NVL72 Server的Vera CPU board與配卡，以及ASIC Server的CPU Board、配卡與I/O Board；此為公司揭露的應用角色，不等同逐一確認終端客戶直接採購關係。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年：公司已受惠AI伺服器需求與高階產品占比提升，2025年法說規劃新租廠房第2季量產並新增約20%產能，2026年法說回顧2025年營收約49.50億元、年增37%，產品結構已提升至Server 88%，其中高層數22至34層以上產品占26%。2026年：公司官方法說展望指出傳統Server復甦、AI Server增加，IPC訂單能見度以B/B大於1描述，高階IPC開始發芽；MoneyDJ報導法說指出公司月產能可支撐單月約5億元營收，隨產能利用率提升、ASP上揚與瓶頸製程改善，下半年可望優於上半年，並稱Server占比約88%、AI伺服器占Server比重約6至7成且仍提升。2027年：公司法說明確列出Server的HDI AI Server為重點，越南ACM新廠預計2027年量產；MoneyDJ報導也提到AI HDI Server預料2027年有較大貢獻。2028年：官方尚未提供明確財務目標，較合理的推估是若AI伺服器平台升級、HDI伺服器板滲透、低軌衛星與高階IPC需求延續，越南產能與Meiko策略聯盟可能支撐全球供應與客戶分散，但需視客戶認證、良率、資本支出與伺服器景氣循環而定。主要風險包括伺服器／AI伺服器營收占比過高、產品認證與量產爬坡不如預期、越南建廠及新增設備折舊壓力、低損耗材料與銅箔基板等原物料漲價、匯率波動、同業擴產競爭、AI伺服器規格變動、客戶議價與供應鏈減碳要求。

Supply Chain

Upstream
Downstream
  • 研華股份有限公司 2395 工業電腦與嵌入式系統公司，2024／2026法說列為主要股東集團之一；112年報揭露研華曾為關係人銷售對象，屬可查證下游客戶／股東關係。
  • 仁寶電腦工業股份有限公司 2324 主要股東與金仁寶集團成員，博智為仁寶集團轉投資PCB廠；仁寶同時屬伺服器／電子代工產業鏈下游或關聯需求端，但直接採購關係需以公司公告為準。
  • 全球知名伺服器品牌公司 公司年報揭露2022年全球知名伺服器品牌公司認證通過並開始送樣；未揭露公司名稱，故stock_id為null。
  • 全球知名IC公司 公司年報揭露HLC PCB進入量產、持續量產；多屬海外上市或未揭露客戶名稱，故stock_id為null。
  • 全球知名ATE公司 公司年報揭露全球知名ATE公司認證通過；未揭露公司名稱，故stock_id為null。
  • NVIDIA Corporation 美國上市GPU與AI伺服器平台公司；博智2026法說列示其PCB角色涵蓋NVIDIA HGX與VR200 NVL72相關CPU board、配卡與Backplane等應用，未代表直接供貨合約。
  • Intel Corporation 美國上市CPU平台公司；博智法說列示Intel伺服器平台材料與PCB層數需求，屬平台應用關係，未代表直接客戶。
  • Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. 美國上市CPU／GPU公司；博智法說列示AMD EPYC Genoa、Venice、Verano等伺服器平台相關PCB需求，屬平台應用關係，未代表直接客戶。

Competitors

Sources（15）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.