Skip to main content
Free trial

Ask AI to review this stock

Copy the prompt to get recent events, historical reactions, and a short research brief.

Tell your AI:

Help me set up FinLab and analyze 5464 霖宏. Please read: https://finlab.finance/en/setup?stock=5464

No install, open FinLab Studio

5464

霖宏 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

quality needs a look, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 霖宏 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 15Quality 26Growth 83Momentum 95Chips 16

Is 霖宏 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Weak profitability.Operating margin is in the 14th market percentile. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 1.0%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 84th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 97th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net selling.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ -3.3% of volume (net sell).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 45.6%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bullish +0.84
BearishNeutralBullish

Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish

  • Single-sided accumulation, concentration rising — bullish
  • 凱基-台北 holds 4,456 lots
  • sellers have 1,742 lots left, ~160 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +186% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 凱基-台北 has accumulated 4,456 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 統一 peaked at 844 lots, has sold 78%, 184 left, paused recently.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders +8.96pp, mid holders +9, retail -12.14pp — concentration shifting upward.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -1,074 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
凱基-台北凱基-信義新光群益金鼎-古亭凱基-中山國泰證券
Distributing
統一元大-松江新加坡商瑞銀美商高盛花旗環球美林
Desks
own scale
國泰-敦南凱基-台東群益金鼎-彰化永豐金-埔里
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 凱基-台北 +4,456
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 凱基-信義 +2,145
    sold 8%· still adding
  • 新光 +930
    sold 10%
  • 群益金鼎-古亭 +809
    sold 0%
  • 凱基-中山 +748
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 國泰證券 +578
    sold 22%· still adding

Distributing

  • 統一 184 left
    sold 78%· paused recently
  • 元大-松江 546 left
    sold 29%· ~24 sessions to clear
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 224 left
    sold 57%· ~33 sessions to clear
  • 美商高盛 220 left
    sold 56%· ~17 sessions to clear
  • 花旗環球 248 left
    sold 29%· ~24 sessions to clear
  • 美林 122 left
    sold 42%· ~29 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 國泰-敦南 -808
    day-trade · selling pressure
  • 凱基-台東 -611
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎-彰化 -447
    unclassified
  • 永豐金-埔里 -425
    unclassified
Still selling 1,742 lots ~160 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +3,442 absorbed / -856 sold buyers slightly ahead
Hedge-desk net short -1 lots potential cover-buying, not selling pressure
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Direction matches: big-holder share rose while retail share fell.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 45.63%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

72 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 50.9%, Sample 57, Median +0.25%, Excess +1.75%, Beat mkt rate 38.6%；60-day: Win 45.5%, Sample 55, Median -2.02%, Excess +1.17%, Beat mkt rate 38.2%；120-day: Win 43.6%, Sample 55, Median -5.76%, Excess +0.3%, Beat mkt rate 38.2%

120 days after: historical avg +1.67%

20-day +2.61%
60-day +3%
120-day +1.67%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50.9%
45.5%
43.6%
Sample
57
55
55
Median
+0.25%
-2.02%
-5.76%
Excess
+1.75%
+1.17%
+0.3%
Beat mkt rate
38.6%
38.2%
38.2%

Over 55 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 1.67%, beat the market by 0.3 pts; win rate 43.6%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 949+25% +21.6% 78.2% +0.3%
20-40 276+17.2% +11.4% 81.9% -5.4%
40-60 392+3% +2.5% 54.6% -11.6%
60-80 142-3.5% -6.5% 41.5% -8.6%
80-100 You are here249+1.7% +1% 50.2% -14%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 48.02, at the 97.1th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+1.9%
Win rate 48% Excess -7.6%
621d
-3.8%
Win rate 30.4% Excess -6.5%
316d
-0.7%
Win rate 55.6% Excess -12%
250d
60-day momentum down
+27.9%
Win rate 78.1% Excess +13.5%
516d
+7.9%
Win rate 74.9% Excess +0.3%
251d
Now
+6.7%
Win rate 66.5% Excess -0.3%
173d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum down”: across 173 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 6.7%, win rate 66.5%, lagged the market by 0.3%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

15 times historically; 60-day forward avg +1.38%, win rate 50%, beating the market by -0.78 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

19 times historically; 60-day forward avg -1.49%, win rate 47.1%, beating the market by -5.81 pts on average.

What does 霖宏 do? Company profile

電子零組件業；印刷電路板（PCB） 上櫃（櫃買中心）

Overview

5464 對應霖宏科技股份有限公司，為櫃買中心上櫃普通股。公司成立於1995年6月21日，公司網站歷史沿革載明民國84年9月正式成立、設廠於嘉義縣，主要生產雙面及多層印刷電路板；2000年11月8日股票正式掛牌上櫃。總部及工廠地址為嘉義縣民雄鄉福樂村中山路6號。董事長為張枋霖，總經理為張枋霖，發言人為賴柔卉。實收資本額約新台幣7.107149億元，已發行普通股71,071,490股，統一編號89396770。主要股東與內部人資料依鉅亨網揭露包括董事長張枋霖持股9,178,112股、大股東劉秀雲持股9,167,877股、董事張鵬展持股4,745,065股、董事張哲明持股951,237股；前十大持股約33.88%。公開可查資料未能確認最新員工總人數；Goodinfo揭露2025年全體員工平均薪資45.5萬元，但此非員工規模。公司另透過霖雲國際開發股份有限公司投資阿里山英迪格酒店，2023年2月正式營運。

Business

霖宏本業為印刷電路板研發、製造與銷售，主要產品包括2至22層硬式多層印刷電路板、雙面板、多層硬板，並延伸至軟板、軟硬複合板、PCBA等。官方產品分類包括電腦周邊、網通產品、消費性電子、工業用及其他、車用電子；應用例包含主板、SERVER板、顯示卡、儲存系統、交換器、防火牆、UTM、WiFi、ADSL、通訊及雷達、家電影音與Set-top box、工業電腦、伺服系統、驅動器、精密機械控制、機器手臂、醫療器材、車用ECU控制板、車用影音與感測系統。2024年產品結構曾揭露為雙面印刷電路板20%、多層印刷電路板80%。114年度年報彙整資料顯示2025年營收分布為雙面印刷電路板168,817千元、占17.33%；多層印刷電路板502,026千元、占51.55%；客房收入206,157千元、占21.17%；其他96,929千元、占9.95%，顯示本業PCB仍為主體，但旅館轉投資收入已成為重要營收來源。商業模式以少量多樣、客製化PCB代工與製造服務為主，透過製程能力、品質認證、交期與客戶合作取得訂單；非本業則透過阿里山英迪格酒店提供住宿與餐飲服務。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年公司營運承壓，114年度合併營收973,929千元，較113年度1,052,037千元減少7.42%，稅後淨損183,971千元，每股虧損2.59元，主要受終端需求疲弱、價格競爭、產能利用率下降及固定成本負擔較高影響。2026年第一季轉為稅後純益1,116萬元、EPS 0.16元；2026年1至5月累計營收517,012千元、年增約29.15%，顯示短期營收動能改善。公司於2026年第二季發行面額2.9億元有擔保可轉換公司債，募集資金主要用於償還銀行借款，同時添購生產及品管設備，預期2026年第四季前陸續裝機、試產完成，效益自第四季起逐月顯現。成長動能包括AI伺服器、雲端運算、高速網通、高階電子應用、工業電腦、工業設備、自動化設備、智慧製造，以及公司規劃推動航太品質系統認證、鎖定航太無人機與低軌衛星相關產品商機。產業面，TPCA與工研院IEK相關資料指出2025年全球PCB產值預估923.6億美元、年增15.4%，2026年可望達1,052億美元、年增13.9%，AI伺服器與HPC為主要推力；但手機與PC等終端需求復甦有限。2027至2028年展望取決於霖宏能否把新增設備轉化為高層數、高可靠性、厚銅與厚板等高附加價值產品量產能力，並實際切入AI伺服器、工業電腦、航太及低軌衛星供應鏈。主要風險包括客戶與產品組合調整不及預期、AI/HPC訂單能見度不足、原物料如銅箔基板、銅箔、玻纖布、鑽針與化學品價格波動、台灣中小型PCB廠面臨中國及大型台廠價格與規模競爭、匯率與關稅不確定、產能利用率不足、旅館轉投資固定成本壓力、環保法規及碳費要求提高製造成本。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 台光電子材料 2383 台股上市公司；主要產品為銅箔基板等PCB上游材料。列為PCB產業上游代表廠商，未查得其與霖宏存在直接供應合約。
  • 聯茂電子 6213 台股上市公司；銅箔基板與半固化片等PCB上游材料供應商。列為產業上游關係企業，直接供應關係未公開確認。
  • 台燿科技 6274 台股上櫃公司；高速、高頻銅箔基板及半固化片供應商，受惠AI伺服器與高速網通材料升級。列為產業上游，直接供應關係未公開確認。
  • 金居開發 8358 台股上櫃公司；電解銅箔廠，屬PCB關鍵上游材料。列為產業上游代表，直接供應關係未公開確認。
  • 尖點科技 8021 台股上市公司；PCB鑽針、成型與鑽孔服務供應商，屬PCB製程設備與耗材鏈。列為產業上游或製程支援關係企業，直接供應關係未公開確認。
  • 化學藥液、乾膜、膠片與電鍍材料供應商 MoneyDJ彙整PCB主要原物料包括銅箔基板、膠片、電解銅箔、乾膜及各種電鍍化學藥液；霖宏未完整公開個別供應商名單。
Downstream
  • 華碩電腦 2357 台股上市公司；霖宏公司歷史沿革載明2008年取得華碩電腦綠色夥伴品質認證，代表曾納入其綠色供應鏈或品質體系；是否為目前主要客戶未公開確認。
  • 工業電腦、伺服系統與自動化設備客戶群 公司官方產品分類及114年度年報展望均將工業電腦、伺服系統、自動化設備、智慧製造設備列為目標應用；個別客戶未公開揭露。
  • 網通設備客戶群 官方產品應用包括交換器、防火牆、UTM、WiFi、ADSL、通訊及雷達；個別客戶未公開揭露。
  • 車用電子客戶群 官方產品應用包括ECU控制板、驅動板、車用影音系統、車用感測系統等；2026年公司表示將降低車用及消費性電子比重並轉向AI、工業與高階應用。
  • 阿里山英迪格酒店 霖宏轉投資霖雲國際開發經營之飯店，屬非PCB本業下游服務事業；未上市櫃。

Competitors

  • 臻鼎-KY 4958 台股上市PCB大廠，MoneyDJ列為霖宏所屬PCB產業競爭廠商之一。
  • 欣興電子 3037 台股上市PCB與載板大廠，為高階PCB、HDI與載板競爭者。
  • 華通電腦 2313 台股上市PCB廠，產品涵蓋多層板、HDI等，為國內PCB競爭者。
  • 健鼎科技 3044 台股上市PCB廠，MoneyDJ列為國內外競爭廠商之一。
  • 瀚宇博德 5469 台股上市PCB廠，產品包含消費、電腦及伺服器相關PCB。
  • 楠梓電子 2316 台股上市PCB相關公司，MoneyDJ列為競爭廠商之一。
  • 敬鵬工業 2355 台股上市PCB廠，車用板比重高，與霖宏車用電子應用具部分競爭。
  • 燿華電子 2367 台股上市PCB廠，產品涵蓋多層板、軟硬結合板等。
  • 高技企業 5439 台股上櫃PCB廠，受惠AI與高階板需求，與霖宏在中小型PCB市場具可比性。
  • 金像電子 2368 台股上市PCB廠，AI伺服器PCB重要供應商，屬高階伺服器板競爭標竿。
  • TTM Technologies 美國上市PCB大廠，MoneyDJ列為全球PCB競爭廠商；非台股掛牌。
  • AT&S 奧地利上市高階PCB與載板廠，MoneyDJ列為全球競爭廠商；非台股掛牌。
  • Nippon Mektron 日本PCB與軟板廠，MoneyDJ列為全球競爭廠商；非台股掛牌。
Sources（18）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.