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2467

志聖 Electronic Components As of 2026-06-17 Updated daily after market close

strong quality, premium valuation.

1 active signal
Revenue ≥20%
This page refreshes daily after the close. Add 志聖 to your watchlist to track signal changes on your next visit.
Valuation 18Quality 89Growth 89Momentum 93Chips 46

Is 志聖 a buy? Fundamentals and valuation first

  • Top-tier profitability.Operating margin beats ~88% of the market. Latest quarterly ROE ≈ 6.2%.

  • Valuation is high.PE is in the 85th market percentile; within its own history, PE is around the 99th percentile.

  • Foreign investors are net buying.Foreign 20-day net flow ≈ 0.1% of volume (net buy).

  • Strong revenue growth.Latest monthly revenue YoY ≈ 74.5%, above the 20% growth threshold.

  • Signals are active now.On the latest data, signals such as Revenue YoY ≥ 20% are active — see the historical forward returns after each occurrence below.

Chip flow

Bearish -0.56
BearishNeutralBullish

Distribution, concentration falling — bearish

  • Distribution, concentration falling — bearish
  • 永豐金-匯立 holds 2,204 lots
  • sellers have 3,476 lots left, ~140 sessions to clear

Window from 2026-01-17 · Price +139% · branches to 2026-06-17· TDCC to 2026-06-12

  • Largest holder 永豐金-匯立 has accumulated 2,204 lots since the start (sold 0%), still adding.
  • Main distributor 美商高盛 peaked at 4,524 lots, has sold 56%, 2,004 left, ~39 sessions to clear at the recent pace.
  • TDCC big holders (absolute) >1000-lot holders -3.11pp, mid holders +6, retail +0.83pp — little change.
  • Foreign hedge-desk net short Net short -118 lots (inferred from branch profile, mostly hedging — not necessarily bearish, not case-confirmed).
Branch inventory reconstruction
Accumulating holders Branches that accumulated shares during the window and still hold positive inventory; they are the absorbing side.
Distributing sellers Branches that built inventory earlier and have been selling it down; the remaining number estimates what has not cleared.
Net-short desks Trading-desk branches with negative inventory or net selling, often hedge, offsetting, or short-term flow. It is not automatically a bearish view.
Accumulating
永豐金-匯立新加坡商瑞銀花旗環球摩根大通大和國泰香港上海匯豐
Distributing
美商高盛台灣摩根士丹利美林港商麥格理統一港商野村
Desks
own scale
凱基-中壢台新證券群益金鼎元大證券
Price Accumulating & Distributing share one scale (comparable); Desks is independent. Zero is the baseline
Branch details Unit: lots

Accumulating

  • 永豐金-匯立 +2,204
    sold 0%· still adding
  • 新加坡商瑞銀 +1,174
    sold 16%· still adding
  • 花旗環球 +887
    sold 0%
  • 摩根大通 +710
    sold 20%· still adding
  • 大和國泰 +661
    sold 0%
  • 香港上海匯豐 +588
    sold 5%

Distributing

  • 美商高盛 2,004 left
    sold 56%· ~39 sessions to clear
  • 台灣摩根士丹利 1,356 left
    sold 48%· paused recently
  • 美林 170 left
    sold 86%· ~6 sessions to clear
  • 港商麥格理 596 left
    sold 34%· ~124 sessions to clear
  • 統一 187 left
    sold 75%· ~7 sessions to clear
  • 港商野村 59 left
    sold 90%· ~6 sessions to clear

Desks

  • 凱基-中壢 -1,195
    unclassified
  • 台新證券 -800
    unclassified
  • 群益金鼎 -677
    unclassified
  • 元大證券 -655
    unclassified
Still selling 3,476 lots ~140 sessions to bottom at most
Recent buy/sell force +1,629 absorbed / -1,573 sold buyers slightly ahead
TDCC big holders · absolute-holding cross-check
>1000-lot holder share Retail (<400 lots) share Price (right axis)

Weak direction: big-holder share fell while retail share rose.

Describes chip flow, not investment advice. Branch data discloses only high-volume branches with ~1-day lag; TDCC is weekly. Inventory is a relative reconstruction from the window start, not absolute holdings.

Historical evidence

Signals active now

These signals are true on the latest data, with this stock's own historical forward-return stats after each occurrence.

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)

Active · now 74.55%

Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%; event date is the first trading day after the filing deadline (no look-ahead).

94 historical occurrences (since 2007-04-23)
Average forward return after Monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20% (from filing deadline)。20-day: Win 50%, Sample 82, Median +0.24%, Excess +3.01%, Beat mkt rate 46.3%；60-day: Win 62.5%, Sample 80, Median +5.92%, Excess +7.45%, Beat mkt rate 56.2%；120-day: Win 66.7%, Sample 78, Median +9.39%, Excess +10.46%, Beat mkt rate 59%

120 days after: historical avg +17.1%

20-day +3.6%
60-day +10.69%
120-day +17.1%
20-day
60-day
120-day
Win
50%
62.5%
66.7%
Sample
82
80
78
Median
+0.24%
+5.92%
+9.39%
Excess
+3.01%
+7.45%
+10.46%
Beat mkt rate
46.3%
56.2%
59%

Over 78 occurrences, 120-day forward avg gained 17.1%, beat the market by 10.46 pts; win rate 66.7%.

Valuation regime and subsequent returns

Each day's PE is converted to its own-history percentile (as of that day), then we look at adjusted-close returns over the next 240 trading days by valuation regime.

PE percentile bandSample days240-day avg returnMedianWin rateAvg excess (vs index)
0-20 354+15.9% +10.5% 86.2% -0.2%
20-40 439+37.4% +27.9% 93.2% +19.9%
40-60 555+80.4% +13.7% 83.1% +70.9%
60-80 599+44.7% +18.4% 69.1% +25.5%
80-100 You are here852+52.7% +15.1% 62.4% +28.8%

Percentiles use an expanding own-history window (no look-ahead); forward return is 240 trading days on adjusted close. Sample days overlap; distribution is indicative only.

Current PE ≈ 77.79, at the 98.9th percentile of its own history (80-100 band).

Valuation × momentum historical grid

Every day in its own history is bucketed by valuation tercile (own-history PE) and 60-day momentum sign into six cells; we show adjusted-close returns over the next 120 trading days per cell.

Valuation
Momentum
Cheap (own-history bottom 1/3)
Mid
Expensive (own-history top 1/3)
60-day momentum up
+3.8%
Win rate 57% Excess -1.9%
291d
+11.9%
Win rate 66.4% Excess +6.3%
536d
Now
+40.8%
Win rate 69.1% Excess +26.7%
861d
60-day momentum down
+12%
Win rate 77% Excess +6.6%
361d
+44%
Win rate 87% Excess +37.6%
361d
+10.9%
Win rate 45.8% Excess -0.5%
509d

Currently in “Expensive (own-history top 1/3) × 60-day momentum up”: across 861 historical days, 120-day forward avg gained 40.8%, win rate 69.1%, beat the market by 26.7%.

Days = trading days in this bucket; returns use adjusted prices, ex-costs. 60-day momentum: direction of this stock's price over the past 60 trading days.

Does this signal hold up across the market

Over the past 242 months, on average ~404 stocks per month met “monthly revenue YoY ≥ 20%”; their adjusted-close return over the next 60 trading days averaged 6.94% (equal-weighted), beating the market by 2.37 points on average, and outperformed the TAIEX total-return index in 64.5% of months.

Each month, equal-weighted 60-day forward adjusted return of all signal-matching stocks, then averaged across months; excess vs the TAIEX total-return index.

Signals not active (historical stats for reference)

These are not occurring now; historical samples shown for comparison.

252-day price high (breakout)

Pending

Adjusted close makes a new 252-day high; repeats within 20 days counted once.

34 times historically; 60-day forward avg +16.56%, win rate 55.9%, beating the market by +11.5 pts on average.

Foreign net buying for 5 straight days

Pending

Foreign net flow (ex-dealer) positive for 5 straight days; event on day 5; repeats within 20 days counted once.

64 times historically; 60-day forward avg +12.33%, win rate 54%, beating the market by +7.34 pts on average.

What does 志聖 do? Company profile

電子零組件業；實質營運屬半導體、PCB、面板等製程設備廠 台灣證券交易所上市

Overview

2467 對應證券為志聖工業股份有限公司普通股，上市市場為台灣證券交易所。公司交易所資料顯示成立日為1978/04/18、上市日為2001/09/17；公司官網另以志聖集團創立時間1966/09/28表述。總部/主要地址為新北市林口區工二工業區工八路2之1號，董事長梁茂生，總經理梁又文，發言人吳晏城。資本額約新台幣15.6至15.7億元，已發行普通股約156,755,348股。營業據點包括林口、台中、台南、廣州、昆山、東莞、曼谷。員工規模公開資料約400人，非官方年報精確數字。主要股東依公司官網115年3月31日資料為均豪精密工業股份有限公司持股19,957,082股、12.73%，海杏投資股份有限公司17,827,743股、11.37%，品志投資股份有限公司12,400,560股、7.91%。2025年度合併營收新台幣61.02155億元、營業毛利26.43741億元、毛利率約43.3%至44%、母公司業主淨利8.30564億元、基本EPS 5.50元，均較2024年度成長。

Business

志聖以「光與熱」及壓、貼、撕、烤、電鍍前處理等關鍵製程為核心，提供半導體先進封裝、晶圓與封測製程、IC載板/PCB製程、面板/觸控製程、電子組裝、印刷、塗裝、鞋業等生產設備。主要產品/能力包括Bonder壓合、Lamination貼膜、Peeling撕膜、Thermal烘烤/熱製程、Wet Process濕製程、UV/Plasma光/電漿製程，並透過G2C+聯盟整合AOI檢測、Metrology量測、Grinding研磨、Polishing拋光、Die Attach黏晶、Chip Sorter揀晶等能力。半導體端應用於CoWoS、SoIC、FOPLP/PLP、暫時貼合、接電層貼合、烘烤與先進封裝相關製程；PCB/載板端應用於HDI、IC載板、高階AI伺服器/高速運算用板材及電鍍前處理等。商業模式以客製化設備研發、製造、交付、安裝與售後服務為主，受客戶資本支出、製程導入與擴產節奏影響。公開媒體與法說整理指出，2025年產品結構轉向高毛利先進封裝與高階PCB，半導體/先進封裝與AI供應鏈相關營收占比快速提升；但細項占比多來自法說/媒體摘要，非財報正式部門揭露。

Outlook 2025–2028

2025年已反映轉型成果：營收61.02億元、EPS 5.50元創高，主要動能來自AI/HPC帶動CoWoS、SoIC、FOPLP、HBM、IC載板與高階PCB設備需求。2026年展望重點包括先進封裝設備出貨放量、AI相關營收占比提高、先進PCB/HDI/IC載板設備需求延續，以及G2C+聯盟從志聖、均豪、均華擴大至東捷後，補強雷射、鍍膜、自動化與先進封裝整合能力。公司2026年公告斥資約14.8億元取得台中南屯區精科一路土地及廠房，作為營運擴充與先進製程設備發展據點；另以約10.176億元認購東捷私募普通股，持股約10.82%，成為東捷單一最大股東，強化G2C+先進封裝設備鏈。2027至2028年，成長假設在於AI伺服器、HPC、先進封裝產能、玻璃基板/面板級封裝、高階PCB與載板投資持續；若客戶端CoWoS/SoIC/FOPLP擴產節奏延後、晶圓代工/封測資本支出下修、先進封裝技術路線改變、國際設備大廠競爭加劇、關鍵零組件交期或匯率波動，將壓抑訂單、毛利率與營收認列。2028以後能否維持高成長，取決於志聖在先進封裝量產驗證、G2C+協同交付、海外據點服務能力與非單一大客戶滲透率。

Supply Chain

Upstream
  • 台達電子工業股份有限公司 2308 工業自動化、伺服驅動、電源與控制元件屬設備廠常見上游；未查得為志聖指定供應商，列為產業供應關係推估。
  • 上銀科技股份有限公司 2049 線性滑軌、滾珠螺桿與精密傳動元件屬設備機構常見上游；未查得為志聖指定供應商，列為產業供應關係推估。
  • 亞德客國際集團 1590 氣動元件、控制閥與自動化零組件屬製程設備常見上游；台股上市KY公司，未查得為志聖指定供應商。
  • 研華股份有限公司 2395 工業電腦、人機介面與自動化控制平台屬設備系統常見上游；未查得為志聖指定供應商。
  • 士林電機廠股份有限公司 1503 電控、配電、馬達與工業控制元件可能供應設備電控系統；未查得為志聖指定供應商。
  • 國際UV燈、真空、電漿、感測器與精密加工零組件廠 包含非台股掛牌或未上市之紫外光源、加熱器、真空泵、電漿模組、感測器、金屬加工件供應商；未能逐一確認公司名稱。
Downstream

Competitors

  • 弘塑科技股份有限公司 3131 台股上櫃半導體濕製程、清洗與先進封裝相關設備廠，部分濕製程/半導體設備市場具競合關係。
  • 辛耘企業股份有限公司 3583 台股上市半導體設備代理、自製設備與再生晶圓服務公司，在半導體設備市場具競合關係。
  • 均豪精密工業股份有限公司 5443 台股上櫃設備廠，為志聖主要股東與G2C+聯盟夥伴，專長檢測/量測/自動化；在部分設備市場亦可能競合。
  • 均華精密工業股份有限公司 6640 台股上櫃G2C+聯盟夥伴，聚焦Die Bonder、Sorter等半導體設備；與志聖互補大於競爭。
  • 東捷科技股份有限公司 8064 台股上櫃設備廠，2026年納入G2C+核心聯盟，布局雷射、鍍膜、自動化與先進封裝；與志聖互補大於競爭。
  • 迅得機械股份有限公司 6438 台股上市自動化與PCB/半導體相關設備廠，於高階PCB/自動化設備市場具競合關係。
  • 群翊工業股份有限公司 6664 台股上市PCB製程設備廠，產品涵蓋壓合、烘烤、塗佈等PCB設備，與志聖PCB設備業務有競爭關係。
  • 牧德科技股份有限公司 3563 台股上市PCB/半導體檢測設備廠，於AOI/檢測相關設備與G2C+聯盟能力可能形成競合。
  • Applied Materials, Inc. 美國上市國際半導體設備大廠，在先進封裝、薄膜、量測與製程設備領域具全球競爭力。
  • Tokyo Electron Limited 日本上市半導體設備大廠，在塗佈顯影、熱處理、清洗等設備領域具全球競爭力。
  • Lam Research Corporation 美國上市半導體設備大廠，在蝕刻、沉積、清洗等製程設備領域具全球競爭力。
  • ASMPT Limited 香港上市封裝與SMT設備商，在先進封裝、固晶與封裝設備領域具競爭力。
  • EV Group / SUSS MicroTec / SCREEN Holdings 歐日設備廠，分別在鍵合、光刻/暫時貼合、清洗等先進封裝與半導體製程設備具競爭力；非台股掛牌。
Sources（18）

This company profile is compiled from public sources (annual reports, filings, news and analyst reports), not finlab backtest data; the 2025–2028 outlook contains forward-looking estimates and is for reference only.

Method and limitations

  • All returns use adjusted close (etl:adj_close), already adjusted for dividends and splits.
  • Excess return is measured against the TAIEX total-return index (dividends included).
  • Valuation regime and percentile stats use an expanding own-history window (no future data).
  • Revenue-signal event dates align to the first trading day after the filing deadline, avoiding look-ahead.
  • Event samples may overlap in time; stats describe historical distribution only and are less reliable when samples are few.

This page is historical statistics for educational purposes and is not investment advice. Investing involves risk; past performance does not indicate future results. Assess and bear the risk yourself before trading.